Match Info

Date: 30 September 2022, Friday


	Cong An Hồ Chí Minh City		Sài Gòn

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.3	3.5
	1.86	3.4	3.6
	1.83	3.37	4.37
	1.91	3.2	3.6
	1.84	3.54	3.74	Watch
	1.91	3.55	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.68)	3.39 ↓ (3.67)	3.76 ↓ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cong An Hồ Chí Minh City
48.9%

Draw
26.9%

Sài Gòn
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

25.1%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

24.8%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cong An Hồ Chí Minh City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cong An Hồ Chí Minh City's form might have worsened.

Sài Gòn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cong An Hồ Chí Minh City than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cong An Hồ Chí Minh City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sài Gòn than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	23.1%	7.7%

Cong An Hồ Chí Minh City - Sài Gòn Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Cong An will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Sài Gòn will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cong An: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 12 and 13 in the zone Relegation ~ V.League 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hồ Chí Minh City won 2.

Hồ Chí Minh City is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Sài Gòn is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hồ Chí Minh City will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Hồ Chí Minh City won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Hồ Chí Minh City won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cong An Hồ Chí Minh City FC
Vietnamese V League 1
14.09.22	Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh - Cong An Hồ Chí Minh City	1:1 ✺
04.09.22	Cong An Hồ Chí Minh City - Nam Định	0:1 ✺
26.08.22	Hai Phong - Cong An Hồ Chí Minh City	4:3 ✺
20.08.22	Sài Gòn - Cong An Hồ Chí Minh City	1:2 ✺
12.08.22	Cong An Hồ Chí Minh City - Quy Nhon United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TLLWL
- Sài Gòn FC
Vietnamese V League 1
13.09.22	Sài Gòn - Hà Nội FC	1:1 ✺
Vietnamese Cup
07.09.22	Hoang Anh Gia Lai - Sài Gòn	2:1 penalties ✺
Vietnamese V League 1
03.09.22	Hoang Anh Gia Lai - Sài Gòn	1:1 ✺
27.08.22	Sài Gòn - Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh	3:2 ✺
20.08.22	Sài Gòn - Cong An Hồ Chí Minh City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Vietnamese V League 1
20.08.22	Sài Gòn - Cong An Hồ Chí Minh City	1:2
Vietnamese Cup
10.04.22	Cong An Hồ Chí Minh City - Sài Gòn	1:2 penalties
Vietnamese V League 1
19.03.21	Cong An Hồ Chí Minh City - Sài Gòn	1:0
Club Friendly
31.12.20	Sài Gòn - Cong An Hồ Chí Minh City	0:0
Vietnamese V League 1
19.10.20	Sài Gòn - Cong An Hồ Chí Minh City	0:0
12.06.20	Cong An Hồ Chí Minh City - Sài Gòn	0:1
20.09.19	Cong An Hồ Chí Minh City - Sài Gòn	4:1

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