The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Conquense 49.2%
Draw 30.3%
Deportivo Toledo 20.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.4%
30.9%
22.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50%
28.7%
21%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Conquense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
Deportivo Toledo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Conquense than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Toledo than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
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Preview
The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 18 (Play Offs: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Conquense won 4.
Conquense in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Toledo is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Toledo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Conquense is a favorite.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Conquense won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 17-18.
Including matches at home between the teams Conquense won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.