The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Conquense 55.9%
Draw 26.5%
Elche Ilicitano 17.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.2%
23.4%
16.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.6%
22.5%
15.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Conquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
Elche Ilicitano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Conquense than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Conquense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elche Ilicitano than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Conquense - Elche Ilicitano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
42', 0 - 1, Agullo Sanchez V. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', 0 - 2, Piera J. ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )).
Conquense is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Ilicitano's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
In this match, Conquense is a strong favorite.
We predict that Conquense will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Conquense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5.