Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 27

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Navalcarnero		Elche Ilicitano

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.4	3.8
	1.8	3.3	3.9
	1.84	3.35	4.36
	1.81	3.4	4.18	Watch
	1.8	3.1	4.2
	1.82	3.25	4.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.76)	3.3 ↓ (3.31)	4.1 ↓ (4.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Navalcarnero
50.2%

Draw
27.6%

Elche Ilicitano
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

27.3%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

26.7%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Navalcarnero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Elche Ilicitano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elche Ilicitano than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Navalcarnero - Elche Ilicitano Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Miralles A. ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Villar J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
72', 2 - 1, Perez J. V. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 12).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Navalcarnero is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Navalcarnero won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Navalcarnero	5	2	1	2	8:8	0	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDA Navalcarnero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
08.03.26	Socuéllamos - Navalcarnero	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Navalcarnero - Real Madrid C	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Orihuela - Navalcarnero	4:0 ✺
15.02.26	Navalcarnero - Intercity	3:1 ✺
08.02.26	Tenerife B - Navalcarnero	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWLWT
- Elche CF Ilicitano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
11.03.26	Elche Ilicitano - Getafe B	2:2 ✺
07.03.26	Alcalá - Elche Ilicitano	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Elche Ilicitano - Intercity	3:2 ✺
22.02.26	Socuéllamos - Elche Ilicitano	2:5 ✺
07.02.26	San Sebastian Reyes - Elche Ilicitano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
04.10.25	Elche Ilicitano - Navalcarnero	0:0

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