Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 27

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	CMM TV


	Conquense		Melilla

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.7	3.2
	2.3	2.65	3.25
	2.31	2.7	3.35
	2.42	2.74	3.38
	2.39	2.7	3.34
	2.42	2.68	3.38
	2.31	2.7	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.12)	2.7 ↓ (3.13)	3.32 ↑ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Conquense
38.7%

Draw
33.8%

Melilla
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

29.1%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

28.1%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Conquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Melilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Conquense than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Conquense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Conquense - Melilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Fernandez A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 11).

Recent matches Conquense is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Melilla is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Conquense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Conquense will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Conquense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UB Conquense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
09.03.25	Atlético Paso - Conquense	1:0 ✺
01.03.25	Conquense - Colonia Moscardó	2:1 ✺
23.02.25	Móstoles URJC - Conquense	0:1 ✺
16.02.25	Conquense - Getafe B	3:0 ✺
09.02.25	Navalcarnero - Conquense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWWWL
- UD Melilla
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
09.03.25	Melilla - Rayo Majadahonda	0:0 ✺
02.03.25	Unión Sur Yaiza - Melilla	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Melilla - Real Madrid C	1:2 ✺
16.02.25	Unión Adarve - Melilla	1:0 ✺
09.02.25	Melilla - San Sebastian Reyes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
03.11.24	Melilla - Conquense	1:0

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