Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 26

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Álvarez Claro (Melilla)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	CMM TV, Television Melilla


	Melilla		Rayo Majadahonda

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.9	2.63
	2.55	2.65	2.85
	2.65	2.75	2.8
	2.69	2.8	2.99
	2.67	2.75	2.86
	2.67	2.73	2.86
	2.65	2.75	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.32)	2.76 ↓ (3.23)	2.83 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melilla
34.7%

Draw
33.1%

Rayo Majadahonda
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

28.2%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

29.3%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Rayo Majadahonda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Melilla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Majadahonda than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Melilla - Rayo Majadahonda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Melilla is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Rayo Majadahonda is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rayo Majadahonda could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Melilla won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:5 (average 0.7:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Melilla won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Melilla
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
02.03.25	Unión Sur Yaiza - Melilla	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Melilla - Real Madrid C	1:2 ✺
16.02.25	Unión Adarve - Melilla	1:0 ✺
09.02.25	Melilla - San Sebastian Reyes	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	Cacereño - Melilla	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LLLTW
- CF Rayo Majadahonda
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
01.03.25	Rayo Majadahonda - Atlético Paso	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Colonia Moscardó - Rayo Majadahonda	1:4 ✺
16.02.25	Rayo Majadahonda - Móstoles URJC	0:1 ✺
09.02.25	Getafe B - Rayo Majadahonda	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	Rayo Majadahonda - Navalcarnero	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
27.10.24	Rayo Majadahonda - Melilla	0:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
08.03.20	Melilla - Rayo Majadahonda	0:3
20.10.19	Rayo Majadahonda - Melilla	2:2

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