Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 31

Date: 27 April 2024, Saturday


	Conquense		Tarancón

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.33	6.25
	1.4	4.09	6.43
	1.41	4.14	6.53
	1.4	4.36	7.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.44)	4.23 ↓ (4.41)	6.63 ↑ (6.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Conquense
64.8%

Draw
21.5%

Tarancón
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

21%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

20.3%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Conquense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Tarancón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Conquense than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tarancón than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Carcaba J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', 2 - 0, Fernandez A. ⚽,
81', 3 - 0, Carcaba J. ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Conquense won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Tarancón could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Conquense is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Conquense won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Conquense won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UB Conquense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
21.04.24	Torrijos - Conquense	0:4 ✺
13.04.24	Conquense - Atlético Tomelloso	1:0 ✺
07.04.24	Socuéllamos - Conquense	2:1 ✺
28.03.24	Conquense - San Clemente	4:1 ✺
23.03.24	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Conquense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WWLWL
- CD Tarancón
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
14.04.24	Cazalegas - Tarancón	1:3 ✺
07.04.24	Tarancón - Villarrubia	0:1 ✺
31.03.24	Villarrobledo - Tarancón	0:2 ✺
28.03.24	Quintanar del Rey - Tarancón	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Tarancón - Villacañas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
16.12.23	Tarancón - Conquense	0:0
23.04.23	Tarancón - Conquense	0:2
08.01.23	Conquense - Tarancón	1:2
13.03.22	Conquense - Tarancón	1:0
13.11.21	Tarancón - Conquense	2:0
10.02.21	Conquense - Tarancón	1:1
26.01.20	Conquense - Tarancón	3:0

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