Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 18 - ROUND 26

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday


	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano		Conquense

	1	X	2
	2.9	2.69	2.57
	2.9	2.69	2.57
	2.9	2.93	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↓ (3.17)	2.77 ↓ (3.1)	2.53 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Calvo Sotelo Puertollano
31.3%

Draw
32.8%

Conquense
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

29.4%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

30.8%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Calvo Sotelo Puertollano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Conquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Conquense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calvo Sotelo Puertollano than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Conquense than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Conquense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Juanfri ⚽,
30', 2 - 0, Cantarino Abelleira D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Conquense will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Calvo Sotelo won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Calvo Sotelo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calvo Sotelo Puertollano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
10.03.24	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Cazalegas	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	Villarrubia - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	0:1 ✺
24.02.24	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Villarrobledo	2:0 ✺
17.02.24	Azuqueca - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	1:1 ✺
11.02.24	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Quintanar del Rey	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWTL
- UB Conquense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
10.03.24	Albacete B - Conquense	2:2 ✺
03.03.24	Conquense - Marchamalo	1:0 ✺
25.02.24	Huracán Balazote - Conquense	0:1 ✺
17.02.24	Villacañas - Conquense	1:1 ✺
11.02.24	Conquense - Deportivo Toledo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
05.11.23	Conquense - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	0:0
26.02.23	Conquense - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	1:0
23.10.22	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Conquense	0:0

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