Match Info

J2 League - Round 7

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Sapporo Dome (Sapporo)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Consadole Sapporo		Oita Trinita

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	3.2
	2.2	2.95	3
	2.45	3.10	2.75	Watch
	2.45	3.25	3.05
	2.41	3.2	2.97	Watch
	2.40	3.15	3.00
	2.31	3.08	2.88	Watch
	2.39	3.15	2.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.35)	3.11 ↓ (3.17)	2.97 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Consadole Sapporo
39.2%

Draw
29.7%

Oita Trinita
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

29.1%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

28.8%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Consadole Sapporo have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Oita Trinita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Consadole Sapporo than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oita Trinita than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Consadole Sapporo - Oita Trinita Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Consadole Sapporo will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Tagawa T. (G) 2. Takao R. 43. Nose S. 47. Nishino S. 17. Uchida M. 55. Umetsu R. 31. Horigome Y. 71. Shirai H. 27. Arano T. 16. Hasegawa T. 23. Omori S.	22. Mun Kyung-Gun (G) 3. Miyakawa A. 31. Matheus Pereira 6. Misao Y. 2. Oda I. 19. Hayashida K. 7. Nishimura Y. 14. Utsumoto S. 10. Matheus Leiria 17. Kimoto M. 9. Arima K.
Substitutes
11. Aoki R. 5. Fukumori A. 29. Kim Geon-Ung 10. Miyazawa H. 3. Park Min-Gyu 30. Sanada R. 1. Sugeno T. (G) 38. Toyama S. 70. Vini Peixoto	45. Aizawa D. 34. Furukawa D. 33. Inoue S. 20. Kimoto T. 44. Moriyama K. 5. Nakagawa H. 16. Shige T. 1. Tanaka Y. (G) 21. Udo S.
Coaches
Kawai K.	Yomoda S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Nishimura Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 0 - 1, Arima K. ⚽, Utsumoto S. (A),
55', Shirai H. ↓, Aoki R. ↑,
55', Omori S. ↓, Toyama S. ↑,
55', Horigome Y. ↓, Miyazawa H. ↑,
67', Matheus Leiria ↓, Udo S. ↑,
67', Kimoto M. ↓, Furukawa D. ↑,
68', Hasegawa T. ↓, Vini Peixoto ↑,
76', Arano T. ↓, Fukumori A. ↑,
77', Oda I. ↓, Shige T. ↑,
81', Vini Peixoto 🟨,
88', Arima K. ↓, Aizawa D. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 1, Aoki R. ⚽,

Preview

A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 19th in the Relegation ~ J3 League and 17th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Consadole Sapporo won 1.

Both teams are currently going through a difficult patch of form.

Recently, Oita Trinita has had a run of games away from home.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Consadole Sapporo has recorded 2 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:19 (averaging 1:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Consadole Sapporo against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 11:9 goals (averaging 1.6:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Oita Trinita	9	2	5	2	9:7	2	11
18	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	9	2	2	5	12:18	-6	8

Last Results with these Odds

Consadole Sapporo - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 39.18%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Oita Trinita - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 31.76%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Consadole Sapporo
Japan J2 League
13.09.26	Vegalta Sendai - Consadole Sapporo	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Consadole Sapporo - Tochigi City	1:4 ✺
Japan J League Cup
02.09.26	Kagoshima United - Consadole Sapporo	0:1 ✺
Japan J2 League
29.08.26	Ventforet Kofu - Consadole Sapporo	2:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Consadole Sapporo - Ventforet Kofu	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TLWLL
- Oita Trinita
Japan J2 League
12.09.26	Omiya Ardija - Oita Trinita	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	Oita Trinita - Imabari	1:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
02.09.26	Roasso Kumamoto - Oita Trinita	2:0 ✺
Japan J2 League
29.08.26	Tokushima Vortis - Oita Trinita	1:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Iwaki - Oita Trinita	2:0 AET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
01.02.26	Oita Trinita - Consadole Sapporo	1:0
Japan J2 League
08.11.25	Consadole Sapporo - Oita Trinita	3:1
Japan Emperors Cup
18.06.25	Consadole Sapporo - Oita Trinita	2:3 penalties
Japan J2 League
16.02.25	Oita Trinita - Consadole Sapporo	2:0
Japan J1 League
21.08.21	Oita Trinita - Consadole Sapporo	1:1
19.06.21	Consadole Sapporo - Oita Trinita	2:0
12.12.20	Oita Trinita - Consadole Sapporo	1:1

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