Match Info

J2 League - Round 4

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Pocarisweat Stadium (Naruto)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Tokushima Vortis		Oita Trinita

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.20	3.20
	2.20	2.80	3.20
	2.00	3.00	3.85	Watch
	2.47	2.93	3.57
	2.14	3.05	3.71	Watch
	2.30	2.90	3.50
	2.20	3.17	3.34	Watch
	2.33	2.95	3.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (1.93)	3 ↓ (3.06)	3.45 ↓ (4.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tokushima Vortis
41.8%

Draw
31.1%

Oita Trinita
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

30.5%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokushima Vortis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tokushima Vortis's form might have worsened.

Oita Trinita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oita Trinita's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Tokushima Vortis - Oita Trinita Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Tokushima will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Oita Trinita will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (2.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
37. Kitamura K. C. (G) 97. Moyo M. 3. Yamada N. 2. Tanaka H. 22. Yanagisawa K. 6. Kanuma N. 8. Iwao K. 42. Takagi Y. 11. Lucas Barcelos 10. Sugimoto T. 16. Watari D.	22. Mun Kyung-Gun (G) 3. Miyakawa A. 31. Matheus Pereira 6. Misao Y. 2. Oda I. 19. Hayashida K. 8. Sakakibara K. 14. Utsumoto S. 7. Nishimura Y. 17. Kimoto M. 9. Arima K.
Substitutes
31. Hasegawa T. (G) 17. Inami T. 27. Izuchukwu L. 7. Kodama S. 19. Miyazaki J. 55. Shigehiro T. 9. Thonny Anderson 44. Yamaguchi T. 15. Yamakoshi K.	45. Aizawa D. 33. Inoue S. 28. Kiyotake H. 36. Matsuoka H. 44. Moriyama K. 5. Nakagawa H. 29. Sakurai Y. 1. Tanaka Y. (G) 21. Udo S.
Coaches
Yoshimoto T.	Yomoda S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Arima K. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Yanagisawa K. ↓, Inami T. ↑,
47', Oda I. 🟨,
62', 1 - 0, Takagi Y. ⚽, Watari D. (A),
64', Iwao K. ↓, Kodama S. ↑,
64', Watari D. ↓, Thonny Anderson ↑,
66', Arima K. ↓, Aizawa D. ↑,
67', Oda I. ↓, Kiyotake H. ↑,
67', Kimoto M. ↓, Udo S. ↑,
74', Sakakibara K. ↓, Nakagawa H. ↑,
82', Takagi Y. ↓, Yamaguchi T. ↑,
87', Lucas Barcelos ↓, Miyazaki J. ↑,
89', Miyakawa A. ↓, Sakurai Y. ↑,
90+1', Sakurai Y. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokushima won 3.

In this match, Tokushima is considered a favorite.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Tokushima won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:16. (average 1.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Tokushima won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 1.6:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Oita Trinita	10	3	5	2	11:8	3	14
12	Tokushima	10	4	1	5	10:12	-2	13

Last Results with these Odds

Tokushima Vortis - the odds 1.93 are the expected chance of winning is 48.42%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tokushima Vortis
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Tokushima Vortis - FC Tokushima	3:0 ✺
Japan J2 League
22.08.26	Júbilo Iwata - Tokushima Vortis	2:1 ✺
16.08.26	Tokushima Vortis - Sagan Tosu	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	Consadole Sapporo - Tokushima Vortis	2:0 ✺
Japan J2 J3 League
07.06.26	Tokushima Vortis - Iwaki	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLTLW
- Oita Trinita
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Iwaki - Oita Trinita	2:0 AET ✺
Japan J2 League
22.08.26	Oita Trinita - Iwaki	4:1 ✺
15.08.26	Vegalta Sendai - Oita Trinita	0:0 ✺
Japan J2 J3 League
07.06.26	Oita Trinita - Montedio Yamagata	1:0 ✺
30.05.26	Nara Club - Oita Trinita	4:3 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
21.06.25	Tokushima Vortis - Oita Trinita	2:0
13.04.25	Oita Trinita - Tokushima Vortis	1:1
14.09.24	Tokushima Vortis - Oita Trinita	3:1
01.06.24	Oita Trinita - Tokushima Vortis	1:2
16.09.23	Oita Trinita - Tokushima Vortis	3:3
19.02.23	Tokushima Vortis - Oita Trinita	1:2
14.08.22	Tokushima Vortis - Oita Trinita	2:2

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