Match Info

J2 League - Round 6

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: NACK5 Stadium Omiya (Saitama)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Omiya Ardija		Oita Trinita

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.6	4.5
	1.75	3.30	4.00
	1.72	3.45	4.2	Watch
	1.79	3.74	4.56
	1.82	3.59	4.26	Watch
	1.76	3.7	4.35
	1.74	3.63	4.54	Watch
	1.76	3.6	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.94)	3.58 ↑ (3.28)	4.34 ↑ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Omiya Ardija
52.8%

Draw
25.9%

Oita Trinita
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

28.1%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

27.5%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Omiya Ardija has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Omiya Ardija's performance.

Oita Trinita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Omiya Ardija than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oita Trinita than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Omiya Ardija - Oita Trinita Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Omiya will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Glover T. (G) 37. Sekiguchi K. 88. Nishio R. 19. Ozaki Y. 3. Kato H. 16. Kato G. 47. Edward M. 10. Toyokawa Y. 11. Caprini 9. Carlinhos Junior 14. Izumi T.	22. Mun Kyung-Gun (G) 3. Miyakawa A. 31. Matheus Pereira 6. Misao Y. 2. Oda I. 19. Hayashida K. 7. Nishimura Y. 14. Utsumoto S. 20. Kimoto T. 17. Kimoto M. 9. Arima K.
Substitutes
20. Hidaka H. 29. Higakure N. T. 1. Kasahara T. (G) 8. Kaua Diniz 44. Kidera S. 77. Kobayashi Y. 49. McGhee J. 15. Nakayama K. 23. Sugimoto K.	45. Aizawa D. 34. Furukawa D. 33. Inoue S. 28. Kiyotake H. 44. Moriyama K. 5. Nakagawa H. 16. Shige T. 1. Tanaka Y. (G) 21. Udo S.
Coaches
Pelach N.	Yomoda S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Kato H. ↓, Kidera S. ↑,
32', Caprini 🟨,
44', Nishimura Y. 🟨,
45', Toyokawa Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Oda I. 🟨,
61', Toyokawa Y. ↓, Kaua Diniz ↑,
63', Kimoto T. ↓, Udo S. ↑,
63', Oda I. ↓, Shige T. ↑,
69', Kimoto M. ↓, Furukawa D. ↑,
69', Arima K. ↓, Aizawa D. ↑,
73', Edward M. ↓, Nakayama K. ↑,
85', Utsumoto S. ↓, Kiyotake H. ↑,
86', Kato G. ↓, Sugimoto K. ↑,
86', Izumi T. ↓, Kobayashi Y. ↑,
86', Ozaki Y. ↓, Higakure N. T. ↑,
90+1', Kiyotake H. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Omiya won 2.

In recent matches, Omiya has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Oita Trinita is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Omiya could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Omiya won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:9. (average 1.7:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Omiya won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.8:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Omiya Ardija	10	5	5	0	20:9	11	20
7	Oita Trinita	10	3	5	2	11:8	3	14

Last Results with these Odds

Omiya Ardija - the odds 1.94 are the expected chance of winning is 47.54%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RB Omiya Ardija
Japan J2 League
06.09.26	Blaublitz Akita - Omiya Ardija	0:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
02.09.26	Gainare Tottori - Omiya Ardija	3:1 ✺
Japan J2 League
29.08.26	Omiya Ardija - Shonan Bellmare	2:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Omiya Ardija - Vanraure Hachinohe	2:0 ✺
Japan J2 League
22.08.26	Consadole Sapporo - Omiya Ardija	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TLTWW
- Oita Trinita
Japan J2 League
06.09.26	Oita Trinita - Imabari	1:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
02.09.26	Roasso Kumamoto - Oita Trinita	2:0 ✺
Japan J2 League
29.08.26	Tokushima Vortis - Oita Trinita	1:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Iwaki - Oita Trinita	2:0 AET ✺
Japan J2 League
22.08.26	Oita Trinita - Iwaki	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
28.06.25	Oita Trinita - Omiya Ardija	0:0
05.04.25	Omiya Ardija - Oita Trinita	2:2
30.09.23	Oita Trinita - Omiya Ardija	0:1
25.03.23	Omiya Ardija - Oita Trinita	3:0
14.09.22	Omiya Ardija - Oita Trinita	2:2
04.05.22	Oita Trinita - Omiya Ardija	1:1
15.07.18	Omiya Ardija - Oita Trinita	1:0

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