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Current Win Probability
Vegalta Sendai 61.2%
Draw 22.5%
Consadole Sapporo 16.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
45.5%
27.4%
27.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.7%
26.1%
25.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vegalta Sendai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vegalta Sendai's performance.
Consadole Sapporo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Consadole Sapporo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vegalta Sendai than the current prediction. (-13.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vegalta Sendai that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Consadole Sapporo than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Consadole Sapporo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Vegalta Sendai - Consadole Sapporo Predictions
Users Predictions:
Vegalta Sendai will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Hayashi A. (G) 22. Takada R. 44. Inoue S. 19. Mateus Moraes 6. Matsui R. 37. Sugiyama Y. 8. Takeda H. 47. Araki S. 42. Ishii H. 27. Iwabuchi H. 7. Nakajima M.
24. Tagawa T. (G) 17. Uchida M. 47. Nishino S. 43. Nose S. 2. Takao R. 18. Kido S. 55. Umetsu R. 71. Shirai H. 16. Hasegawa T. 27. Arano T. 23. Omori S.
Substitutes
80. Asakura R. 1. Hotta D. (G) 2. Igarashi S. 10. Kamada H. 11. Kobayashi K. 17. Kudo A. 15. Minami S. 20. Nakada Y. 5. Sugata M.
11. Aoki R. 20. Bakayoko A. 31. Horigome Y. 29. Kim Geon-Ung 25. Osaki L. 19. Puethong T. 1. Sugeno T. (G) 38. Toyama S. 70. Vini Peixoto
Coaches
Moriyama Y.
Kawai K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Omori S. ⚽, Umetsu R. (A),
24', Kido S. 🟨,
26', 1 - 1, Takeda H. ⚽, Nakajima M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Shirai H. ↓, Aoki R. ↑,
62', Hasegawa T. ↓, Puethong T. ↑,
68', Uchida M. 🟨,
68', Iwabuchi H. ↓, Kobayashi K. ↑,
68', Araki S. ↓, Kamada H. ↑,
77', Arano T. ↓, Toyama S. ↑,
77', Kido S. ↓, Horigome Y. ↑,
80', Matsui R. ↓, Asakura R. ↑,
82', Omori S. ↓, Vini Peixoto ↑,
90+4', Kobayashi K. ↓, Nakada Y. ↑,
90+4', Sugiyama Y. ↓, Minami S. ↑,
90+4', Nakajima M. ↓, Sugata M. ↑,
90+4', Aoki R. ↓, Bakayoko A. ↑,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sendai won 1.
In recent matches, Sendai has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Consadole Sapporo is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
In this match, Sendai is seen as the favorite.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Sendai won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:19. (average 1.7:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Sendai won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.9:1.1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Vegalta Sendai
11
7
3
1
18:8
10
24
14
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
12
4
2
6
15:19
-4
14
Last Results with these Odds
Consadole Sapporo - the odds 3.39 are the expected chance of winning is 27.15%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
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Hayashi A. (G) 
Mateus Moraes 
Bakayoko A. 
Kim Geon-Ung 
Puethong T. 
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