Match Info

WALES: CYMRU NORTH - ROUND 21

Date: 7 January 2023, Saturday


	Conwy Borough		Gresford Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.3	2.46
	2.42	3.33	2.51
	2.42	3.48	2.51
	2.45	3.4	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.4)	3.38 ↑ (3.18)	2.5 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Conwy Borough
37.2%

Draw
26.7%

Gresford Athletic
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

27.3%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

26.4%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Conwy Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Gresford Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Conwy Borough than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gresford Athletic than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 12 and 13).

Conwy Borough is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Gresford is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Conwy Borough won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Conwy Borough won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Conwy Borough
Welsh Cymru North
02.01.23	Conwy Borough - Penrhyncoch	3:1 ✺
27.12.22	Porthmadog - Conwy Borough	3:1 ✺
07.12.22	Conwy Borough - Prestatyn Town	2:3 ✺
26.11.22	Prestatyn Town - Conwy Borough	5:2 ✺
19.11.22	Conwy Borough - Chirk AAA	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 WLLLT
- Gresford Athletic
Welsh Cymru North
02.01.23	Druids - Gresford Athletic	0:1 ✺
27.12.22	Gresford Athletic - Buckley Town	0:3 ✺
11.12.22	Gresford Athletic - Llanidloes Town	2:0 ✺
26.11.22	Gresford Athletic - Colwyn Bay	0:2 ✺
19.11.22	Llanidloes Town - Gresford Athletic	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
01.10.22	Gresford Athletic - Conwy Borough	0:1
30.10.21	Gresford Athletic - Conwy Borough	2:2
27.07.21	Conwy Borough - Gresford Athletic	0:0
07.12.19	Gresford Athletic - Conwy Borough	1:2

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