Match Info

Cymru North - Round 10

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday


	Gresford Athletic		Buckley Town

	1	X	2
	2.88	4.15	1.92
	2.72	4.38	2.13
	3.98	4.83	1.62	Watch
	2.78	4.2	2
	2.96	4	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (2.96)	4.31 ↑ (4)	1.93 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gresford Athletic
30.3%

Draw
21.5%

Buckley Town
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

22.8%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

21.7%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gresford Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Buckley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gresford Athletic than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buckley Town than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Gresford Athletic - Buckley Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Littler C. ⚽,
28', 0 - 2, Blayney O. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 5)
63', 0 - 3, Moore M. ⚽,
72', 0 - 4, Bellis A. ⚽,
78', 0 - 5, Mariette L. ⚽,
86', 0 - 6, Bellis A. ⚽,
90+1', 0 - 7, Bellis A. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gresford won 2.

Gresford has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Buckley Town is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Buckley Town may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Buckley Town will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Gresford won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:23. (average 1.3:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Gresford won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Gresford Athletic - the odds 2.96 are the expected chance of winning is 30.77%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gresford Athletic
Welsh Cymru North
26.09.25	Gresford Athletic - Airbus UK Broughton	2:5 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
20.09.25	Saltney Town - Gresford Athletic	3:7 ✺
Welsh Cymru North
13.09.25	Holywell Town - Gresford Athletic	8:4 ✺
05.09.25	Gresford Athletic - Mold Alexandra	1:0 ✺
25.08.25	Gresford Athletic - Llandudno	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWLWL
- Buckley Town
Welsh Cymru North
03.10.25	Buckley Town - Newtown	3:0 ✺
27.09.25	Mold Alexandra - Buckley Town	1:2 ✺
12.09.25	Buckley Town - Holyhead Hotspur	5:5 ✺
05.09.25	Denbigh Town - Buckley Town	1:1 ✺
25.08.25	Buckley Town - Flint Mountain	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
25.01.25	Gresford Athletic - Buckley Town	1:3
06.08.24	Buckley Town - Gresford Athletic	3:0
13.04.24	Buckley Town - Gresford Athletic	2:2
04.10.23	Gresford Athletic - Buckley Town	2:1
Welsh League Cup
19.09.23	Buckley Town - Gresford Athletic	0:1
Welsh Cymru North
27.12.22	Gresford Athletic - Buckley Town	0:3
29.10.22	Buckley Town - Gresford Athletic	3:2

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