Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 8 August 2023, Tuesday

Location: Parken Stadium (Copenhagen)

Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra
Portugal	Eleven Sports 4


	Copenhagen		Sparta Prague

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	3.3	Watch
	2.15	3.4	3.3
	2.14	3.35	3.4
	2.25	3.3	3.2
	2.2	3.39	3.53
	2.1	3.2	3
	2.1	3.5	3.38
	2.22	3.45	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (1.96)	3.37 ↑ (3.33)	3.31 ↓ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Copenhagen
43.5%

Draw
28%

Sparta Prague
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

28.1%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

27.3%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Copenhagen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Sparta Prague has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Copenhagen than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Copenhagen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Prague than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.6%	4.5%	6.8%

Copenhagen - Sparta Prague Predictions

Users Predictions: Copenhagen will win (39 of 44 users predict this - 88.64%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.26% – 98.02%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grabara K. (G) 19. Jelert E. 3. Vavro D. 2. Diks K. 6. Sorensen C. 33. Falk R. (C) 12. Lerager L. 9. Goncalves D. 40. Bardghji R. 25. Larsson J. 10. Elyounoussi M.	1. Vindahl P. (G) 25. Sorensen A. 27. Panak F. 37. Krejci L. (C) 19. Mejdr J. 18. Sadilek L. 6. Kairinen K. 30. Zeleny J. 14. Birmancevic V. 9. Kuchta J. 22. Haraslin L.
Substitutes
30. Achouri E. 22. Ankersen P. 20. Boilesen N. 7. Claesson V. 36. Clem W. 41. Dithmer A. (G) 44. Hojlund E. 39. Hojlund O. 27. Lund V. 17. Mukairu P. 18. Oskarsson O. 21. Sander T. (G)	13. Danek K. 5. Gomez J. 10. Karabec A. 20. Laci Q. 11. Minchev M. 8. Pavelka D. 21. Pesek J. 32. Rynes M. 39. Sejk V. 41. Vitik M. 24. Vorel V. (G) 28. Wiesner T.
Coaches
Neestrup J.	Priske B.

Preview

1st leg.

Two teams got a triumph in the latest matches.

Copenhagen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Copenhagen will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Copenhagen
Danish Superliga
05.08.23	Copenhagen - Randers FC	4:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
02.08.23	Copenhagen - Breiðablik	6:3 ✺
Danish Superliga
29.07.23	Vejle Boldklub Kolding - Copenhagen	2:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
25.07.23	Breiðablik - Copenhagen	0:2 ✺
Danish Superliga
22.07.23	Lyngby BK - Copenhagen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWWW
- AC Sparta Prague
Czech 1 Liga
05.08.23	Sparta Prague - Pardubice	5:2 ✺
29.07.23	Zlín - Sparta Prague	0:1 ✺
23.07.23	Sparta Prague - Sigma Olomouc	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
14.07.23	Anderlecht - Sparta Prague	0:6 ✺
11.07.23	Čukarički - Sparta Prague	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWWT

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