The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cordino 19.5%
Draw 25.8%
Sampaio Corrêa 54.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
15.4%
24.8%
59.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
15.4%
24.8%
59.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cordino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
Sampaio Corrêa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sampaio Corrêa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cordino than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sampaio Corrêa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Maranhense (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Cordino won 1.
Cordino is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Sampaio Corrêa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match Sampaio Corrêa is a favorite.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Cordino won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12-19.
Including matches at home between the teams Cordino won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-7.