Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 4

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio La Isla (Coria)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Coria		Real Avilés

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.3	2.55
	2.30	3.30	2.60
	2.35	3.35	2.65
	2.41	3.45	3.04
	2.42	3.27	2.86	Watch
	2.35	2.95	3
	2.48	3.45	2.66
	2.3	3.3	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.38)	3.3 ↑ (3.13)	2.75 ↓ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coria
38.7%

Draw
27.9%

Real Avilés
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

29.7%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

29.9%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Real Avilés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coria than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Coria - Real Avilés Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alonso A. (G) 17. Blanco A. 20. Leon I. 23. Dominguez A. 3. Guzman J. 22. Nunez B. 14. Moreno A. 10. Gomez S. (C) 7. Ramos I. 18. Gallastegi J. 9. Palacin P.	1. Raton A. (G) 15. Alday I. 21. Sillero J. 4. Artetxe M. 7. Montes C. 5. Mayo S. 8. Abelenda B. 20. Osky 19. Poquet N. (C) 14. Cayarga B. 9. Santamaria A.
Substitutes
19. Arcos A. 4. Calleja J. 2. Curras J. 21. Leiton M. 8. Llorente E. 25. Lopez N. (G) 11. Lopez-Vadillo A. 24. Morcillo D. 15. Nunez R. 16. Santiago A. 6. Tapia J.	23. Carmona A. 6. Doncel P. 29. Frechilla Lopez D. 27. Liduena Alonso D. 2. Mahicas J. 10. Neskes 17. Prendes M. 18. Rodriguez Y. 13. Suarez Coronas Lastra M. (G)
Coaches
Rai Rosa	Yago Iglesias

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', Moreno A. ↓, Llorente E. ↑,
58', Nunez B. ↓, Lopez-Vadillo A. ↑,
58', Osky ↓, Rodriguez Y. ↑,
61', 1 - 0, Lopez-Vadillo A. ⚽, Palacin P. (A),
68', Cayarga B. ↓, Mahicas J. ↑,
68', Poquet N. ↓, Neskes ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Santamaria A. ⚽, Montes C. (A),
80', Gallastegi J. ↓, Tapia J. ↑,
80', Palacin P. ↓, Morcillo D. ↑,
84', Montes C. ↓, Doncel P. ↑,
86', Ramos I. ↓, Santiago A. ↑,
88', Blanco A. 🟨,
90+7', 🟨,
90+7', Lopez-Vadillo A. 🟨,

Preview

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Real Aviles	6	1	2	3	9:10	-1	5
18	CD Coria	6	1	2	3	8:11	-3	5

Last Results with these Odds

Real Avilés - the odds 2.96 are the expected chance of winning is 31.35%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Coria
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
13.09.26	Lugo - Coria	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Coria - Barakaldo	4:1 ✺
30.08.26	Real Unión de Irun - Coria	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
14.08.26	Coria - CD Extremadura	2:2 ✺
11.08.26	Unionistas de Salamanca - Coria	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWLTW
- Real Avilés
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
12.09.26	Real Avilés - Unionistas de Salamanca	3:1 ✺
06.09.26	Athletic Bilbao B - Real Avilés	2:1 ✺
28.08.26	Real Avilés - Pontevedra	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Mosconia - Real Avilés	0:2 ✺
13.08.26	Ferrol - Real Avilés	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLLWT

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