Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 3

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Anxo Carro (Lugo)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Lugo		Coria

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.1	3.9
	1.88	3.10	3.80
	1.88	3.1	4.1
	1.93	3.1	4.45
	1.9	3.17	4.4	Watch
	1.91	2.9	4.4
	1.94	3.25	4.08
	1.81	3.1	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.02)	3.1 (3.1)	4.15 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lugo
48.5%

Draw
29.5%

Coria
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

29.4%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

28%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Coria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coria than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Lugo - Coria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Embadje F. (G) 19. Lucero R. 4. Garriz I. 5. Moreno P. 3. Haro P. 20. Ulloa A. 15. Parrilla P. 14. Gallar A. (C) 6. Presa K. 17. Chiqui 11. Dauda M.	1. Alonso A. (G) 17. Blanco A. 4. Calleja J. 20. Leon I. 3. Guzman J. 8. Llorente E. 10. Gomez S. (C) 14. Moreno A. 7. Ramos I. 9. Palacin P. 19. Arcos A.
Substitutes
21. Berzal G. 13. Candal J. (G) 9. Costa A. 10. Godoy A. 18. Hermoso K. 1. Martinez M. (G) 22. Munoz M. 16. Palma A. 23. Pascual H. 8. Perera A. 2. Sanchez Martinez A. N.	2. Curras J. 23. Dominguez A. 18. Gallastegi J. 25. Lopez N. (G) 24. Morcillo D. 22. Nunez B. 15. Nunez R. 16. Santiago A. 6. Tapia J.
Coaches
Borja Fernandez	Rai Rosa

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Leon I. 🟨,
34', Llorente E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Arcos A. ↓, Gallastegi J. ↑,
59', Gallar A. ↓, Palma A. ↑,
59', Presa K. ↓, Berzal G. ↑,
68', Llorente E. ↓, Tapia J. ↑,
68', Gomez S. ↓, Nunez R. ↑,
82', Dauda M. ↓, Costa A. ↑,
83', Palacin P. ↓, Nunez B. ↑,
83', Ramos I. ↓, Santiago A. ↑,
85', Tapia J. 🟨,
90+1', Chiqui ↓, Godoy A. ↑,
90+1', Parrilla P. ↓, Perera A. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 0, Berzal G. ⚽,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

Lugo has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Coria is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Lugo is considered a favorite.

We predict that Lugo will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Lugo	6	5	1	0	9:3	6	16
18	CD Coria	6	1	2	3	8:11	-3	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Lugo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
04.09.26	Ponferradina - Lugo	0:0 ✺
30.08.26	Unionistas de Salamanca - Lugo	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
21.08.26	Lugo - Ourense CF	1:0 ✺
12.08.26	Bergantiños - Lugo	0:3 ✺
01.08.26	Lugo - Deportivo A Coruña B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 TWWWW
- CD Coria
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
05.09.26	Coria - Barakaldo	4:1 ✺
30.08.26	Real Unión de Irun - Coria	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
14.08.26	Coria - CD Extremadura	2:2 ✺
11.08.26	Unionistas de Salamanca - Coria	0:2 ✺
05.08.26	Badajoz - Coria	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WLTWW

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