Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 3

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Roman Suarez Puerta (Avilés)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	DAZN Espana, Footballclub


	Real Avilés		Unionistas de Salamanca

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3.2
	2.10	3.20	3.00
	2.12	3.1	3.2
	2.14	3.25	3.2
	2.17	3.29	3.29	Watch
	2.09	3.1	3.1
	2.13	3.14	3.21
	2.1	3.1	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.22)	3.16 ↑ (3.15)	3.17 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Avilés
42.8%

Draw
28.7%

Unionistas de Salamanca
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

28.9%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

29.8%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Avilés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Unionistas de Salamanca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unionistas de Salamanca than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Real Avilés - Unionistas de Salamanca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Raton A. (G) 15. Alday I. 21. Sillero J. 17. Prendes M. 20. Osky 19. Poquet N. (C) 5. Mayo S. 8. Abelenda B. 7. Montes C. 9. Santamaria A. 14. Cayarga B.	1. Daza A. (G) 2. Morer D. 3. Serrano M. 19. Mutilva C. 21. Retu 6. Gil A. 14. Marcelo A. 5. Luis Alcalde 11. Gomez A. (C) 9. Ferrer P. 7. de Bustos H.
Substitutes
4. Artetxe M. 23. Carmona A. 6. Doncel P. 24. Franco S. 29. Frechilla Lopez D. 27. Liduena Alonso D. 2. Mahicas J. 10. Neskes 18. Rodriguez Y. 13. Suarez Coronas Lastra M. (G)	20. Casas A. 22. Chatiliez W. 10. de la Nava C. 13. Emilio (G) 8. Lendinez J. 4. Mayor R. 24. Pastor G. 16. Rivera G. 17. Saidi A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, de Bustos H. ⚽, Daza A. (A),
22', Poquet N. 🟨,
24', Gil A. 🟨,
29', Ferrer P. 🟨,
40', 1 - 1, Poquet N. ⚽, Santamaria A. (A),
42', Marcelo A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', Mayo S. 🟨,
56', 2 - 1, Montes C. ⚽, Cayarga B. (A),
58', Marcelo A. ↓, Casas A. ↑,
58', Gil A. ↓, Lendinez J. ↑,
62', 3 - 1, Poquet N. ⚽, Cayarga B. (A),
62', Retu 🟨,
72', Morer D. ↓, Saidi A. ↑,
72', Ferrer P. ↓, de la Nava C. ↑,
76', Montes C. ↓, Mahicas J. ↑,
76', Poquet N. ↓, Doncel P. ↑,
79', de Bustos H. ↓, Chatiliez W. ↑,
84', Mayo S. ↓, Liduena Alonso D. ↑,
84', Cayarga B. ↓, Neskes ↑,
86', Osky ↓, Rodriguez Y. ↑,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Unionistas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Real Avilés has had a series of away games.

Recently, Unionistas has had a series of home games.

Real Avilés will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Real Avilés won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Real Avilés won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Unionistas	6	2	0	4	9:12	-3	6
17	Real Aviles	6	1	2	3	9:10	-1	5

Last Results with these Odds

Real Avilés - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.03%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Unionistas de Salamanca - the odds 3.04 are the expected chance of winning is 30.02%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Avilés
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
06.09.26	Athletic Bilbao B - Real Avilés	2:1 ✺
28.08.26	Real Avilés - Pontevedra	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Mosconia - Real Avilés	0:2 ✺
13.08.26	Ferrol - Real Avilés	1:1 ✺
05.08.26	Leonesa - Real Avilés	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLWTT
- Unionistas de Salamanca
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
05.09.26	Unionistas de Salamanca - Real Unión de Irun	2:4 ✺
30.08.26	Unionistas de Salamanca - Lugo	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
21.08.26	Unionistas de Salamanca - Cacereño	1:0 ✺
18.08.26	Unionistas de Salamanca - Alcorcón	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Gimnástica Segoviana - Unionistas de Salamanca	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
18.04.26	Real Avilés - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:1
21.09.25	Unionistas de Salamanca - Real Avilés	3:2

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