Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 27

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Coria		Intercity

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	3
	2.08	3.2	3.1
	2.16	3.2	3.45
	2.12	3.22	3.29	Watch
	2.1	2.9	3.3
	2.12	3.06	3.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (2.06)	3.15 ↓ (3.2)	3.24 ↑ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coria
43.1%

Draw
28.9%

Intercity
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

28.2%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

27.9%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

The chances for Intercity have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coria than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Intercity than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Coria - Intercity Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Dawda ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+3', Romagnoli B. 🟥,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 9).

Coria is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Intercity has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Intercity may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Coria might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Coria won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Intercity - the odds 3.22 are the expected chance of winning is 28.04%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Coria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
08.03.26	Getafe B - Coria	4:1 ✺
01.03.26	Coria - San Sebastian Reyes	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Colonia Moscardó - Coria	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Coria - Conquense	1:2 ✺
08.02.26	Las Palmas B - Coria	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTLLT
- CF Intercity
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
08.03.26	Intercity - Conquense	0:2 ✺
28.02.26	Elche Ilicitano - Intercity	3:2 ✺
22.02.26	Intercity - Fuenlabrada	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Navalcarnero - Intercity	3:1 ✺
08.02.26	Intercity - Alcalá	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
15.11.25	Intercity - Coria	0:2

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