The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Coria 33.1%
Draw 31.5%
San Sebastian Reyes 35.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.7%
31.1%
37.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.6%
32%
36.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Coria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
San Sebastian Reyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coria than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Sebastian Reyes than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Coria - San Sebastian Reyes Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Gonzalez M. (Penalty Awarded),
15', 1 - 1, Chavales J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).
Coria is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
SS Reyes is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Coria won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).
Including home match between the teams, Coria won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
San Sebastian Reyes
5
3
1
1
7:3
4
10
Last Results with these Odds
San Sebastian Reyes - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 37.18%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.