Match Info

ENGLAND: ISTHMIAN LEAGUE PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 17

Date: 6 December 2022, Tuesday


	Corinthian-Casuals		Bishops Stortford

	1	X	2
	6	4.1	1.42
	5.4	4.1	1.4
	6	4.1	1.4
	6.52	4.47	1.43
	6.5	3.8	1.4
	6.4	4.3	1.42
	6.5	4.2	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.19 ↑ (3.28)	4.15 ↑ (3.6)	1.41 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corinthian-Casuals
14.6%

Draw
21.7%

Bishops Stortford
63.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

25.5%

46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

25.2%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corinthian-Casuals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Corinthian-Casuals's form might have worsened.

Bishops Stortford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bishops Stortford's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthian-Casuals than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Corinthian-Casuals, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bishops Stortford than the current prediction. (-17.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bishops Stortford, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Corinthian Casuals - Bishops Stortford Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Corinthian-Casuals will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Bishops Stortford will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bishops Stortford: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Corinthian-Casuals won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Corinthian-Casuals could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Bishop's Stortford will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Corinthian-Casuals won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Corinthian-Casuals won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corinthian-Casuals
English Isthmian League Premier Division
03.12.22	Corinthian-Casuals - Brightlingsea Regent	2:1 ✺
26.11.22	Hastings United - Corinthian-Casuals	3:0 ✺
22.11.22	Wingate & Finchley - Corinthian-Casuals	1:1 ✺
12.11.22	Bognor Regis Town - Corinthian-Casuals	3:2 ✺
05.11.22	Corinthian-Casuals - Herne Bay	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLTLW
- Bishops Stortford
English Isthmian League Premier Division
03.12.22	Enfield Town - Bishops Stortford	0:1 ✺
26.11.22	Bishops Stortford - Margate	2:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
19.11.22	Leamington - Bishops Stortford	1:0 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
12.11.22	Bishops Stortford - Kingstonian	1:0 ✺
05.11.22	Canvey Island - Bishops Stortford	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
05.02.22	Bishops Stortford - Corinthian-Casuals	3:3
26.10.21	Corinthian-Casuals - Bishops Stortford	0:2
09.11.19	Bishops Stortford - Corinthian-Casuals	1:3
09.03.19	Corinthian-Casuals - Bishops Stortford	1:1
20.10.18	Bishops Stortford - Corinthian-Casuals	3:0

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