Match Info

ENGLAND: ISTHMIAN LEAGUE PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 15

Date: 5 November 2022, Saturday


	Canvey Island		Bishops Stortford

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.3	2.1
	3.1	3.45	2.02
	3.16	3.72	2.06
	2.4	3.3	2.5
	3.18	3.35	2.08
	2.95	3.4	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.2)	3.42 ↑ (3.28)	2.15 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Canvey Island
30.9%

Draw
26.7%

Bishops Stortford
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

27.4%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

31.4%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Canvey Island has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Canvey Island's form might have worsened.

Bishops Stortford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bishops Stortford's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canvey Island than the current prediction. (+15.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Canvey Island, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bishops Stortford than the current prediction. (-14.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bishops Stortford, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Canvey Island - Bishops Stortford Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Canvey Island will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Bishops Stortford will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)).

Recent matches Canvey Island is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bishop's Stortford in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Canvey Island
English Isthmian League Premier Division
29.10.22	Canvey Island - Kingstonian	3:0 ✺
22.10.22	Canvey Island - Wingate & Finchley	0:3 ✺
15.10.22	Margate - Canvey Island	2:0 ✺
11.10.22	Potters Bar Town - Canvey Island	1:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
08.10.22	Canvey Island - Bracknell Town	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLLWL
- Bishops Stortford
English FA Trophy
29.10.22	Harlow Town - Bishops Stortford	0:4 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
22.10.22	Bishops Stortford - Carshalton Athletic	2:0 ✺
15.10.22	Hastings United - Bishops Stortford	0:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
08.10.22	Herne Bay - Bishops Stortford	1:2 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
04.10.22	Bishops Stortford - Folkestone Invicta	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWWW

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