Match Info

Brasileiro U20 - Round 9

Date: 29 April 2026, Wednesday


	Corinthians U20		Athletico Paranaense U20

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.4	3.05
	2.04	3.61	3.22
	2	3.73	3.14	Watch
	2	3.3	3.1
	2	3.48	3.19
	1.89	3.15	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.89)	3.45 ↑ (3.15)	3.14 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corinthians U20
45.2%

Draw
26.1%

Athletico Paranaense U20
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corinthians U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Athletico Paranaense U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians U20 than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Corinthians U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense U20 than the current prediction. (-4%)

Corinthians U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 1 - 0, Christian Oliveira ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, Kaue Vinicius ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
55', 1 - 2, Lucas Amorim ⚽,
71', 1 - 3, Ruan F. ⚽,
81', 1 - 4, Alves D. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians U20 won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Corinthians U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Corinthians U20 will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Corinthians U20 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:16. (average 0.6:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians U20 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corinthians U20
Brasileiro U20
26.04.26	São Paulo U20 - Corinthians U20	0:1 ✺
22.04.26	Criciúma U20 - Corinthians U20	1:2 ✺
16.04.26	Corinthians U20 - Santos U20	0:0 ✺
07.04.26	Botafogo RJ U20 - Corinthians U20	1:1 ✺
01.04.26	Corinthians U20 - Fortaleza U20	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WWTTL
- Athletico Paranaense U20
Brasileiro U20
26.04.26	América MG U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	3:2 ✺
22.04.26	Athletico Paranaense U20 - São Paulo U20	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Paranaense U20
18.04.26	Athletico Paranaense U20 - FC Cascavel U20	1:2 ✺
Brasileiro U20
15.04.26	Fortaleza U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Paranaense U20
11.04.26	Cianorte U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro U20
07.05.25	Athletico Paranaense U20 - Corinthians U20	4:0
21.08.24	Athletico Paranaense U20 - Corinthians U20	5:0
05.06.22	Corinthians U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	0:1
04.10.21	Corinthians U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	1:1
20.11.20	Athletico Paranaense U20 - Corinthians U20	4:0
Brazilian Copinha
17.01.20	Corinthians U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	1:0
Brasileiro U20
18.09.19	Corinthians U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	2:1

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