Match Info

BRAZIL: Paranaense - Round 6

Date: 30 January 2025, Thursday

Location: Estádio Couto Pereira (Curitiba)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, NSports, Sky+, Vivo Play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Coritiba		Andraus

	1	X	2
	1.38	3.9	7.5
	1.35	4.33	7.25
	1.4	4.2	7	Watch
	1.39	4.2	7.76
	1.4	4.16	7.59	Watch
	1.36	4	8
	1.35	4.35	7.8	Watch
	1.4	4.2	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.36)	4.17 ↓ (4.25)	7.49 ↓ (7.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coritiba
66%

Draw
21.8%

Andraus
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.8%

21.3%

11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.2%

20.9%

11.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coritiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Andraus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andraus than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Coritiba - Andraus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pedro Morisco (G) 49. Dellatorre 37. Everaldo 5. Geovane 38. Geovane Meurer 16. Joao Vitor 11. Lucas Ronier 18. Matheus Bianqui 13. Rafinha 4. Rodrigo Moledo 14. Thalisson	1. Denison (G) 2. Bruno Ferreira 4. Diego Fracarolli 13. Giba 7. Hiago 9. Julio Cesar 14. Lucas Lourenco 11. Luis Araujo 18. Messias 3. Nascimento 8. Vinicius Kiss
Substitutes
67. Benassi (G) 70. Brenno Pereira 33. Caio Matheus 55. Dani Gruber 87. Gabriel Leite (G) 43. Jhonny 44. Joao Pedro 25. Jorge Vinicius 34. Renan Gustavo 99. Thiago Azaf 50. Tissi 57. Wesley Pomba	23. Bruno Fagundes 5. Daniel Oliveira 17. Diego Paulista 20. Eduardo L. 19. Gabriel Kenji 16. Joao Henrique 15. Joao Paulo 10. Lucas Soares 6. Ronald Kaua 21. Roni 22. Santos M. 12. Valsir (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Lucas Ronier ⚽,
26', Lucas Lourenco 🟨,
31', 2 - 0, Dellatorre ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Messias ↓, Diego Paulista ↑,
46', Giba ↓, Ronald Kaua ↑,
46', Vinicius Kiss ↓, Daniel Oliveira ↑,
51', Daniel Oliveira ↓, Santos M. ↑,
52', 3 - 0, Thalisson ⚽,
61', 🟨,
62', 4 - 0, Geovane Meurer ⚽,
79', 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Paranaense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).

Recent matches Coritiba is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Andraus is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Coritiba is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Coritiba won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1

Including matches at home between the teams Coritiba won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coritiba
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
25.01.25	Coritiba - Athletico Paranaense	0:0 ✺
22.01.25	Maringá - Coritiba	0:2 ✺
19.01.25	FC Cascavel - Coritiba	1:0 ✺
15.01.25	Coritiba - São-Joseense	3:0 ✺
12.01.25	Coritiba - Londrina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TWLWL
- Clube Andraus
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
26.01.25	Andraus - Maringá	1:3 ✺
22.01.25	Rio Branco PR - Andraus	3:0 ✺
19.01.25	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Andraus	0:0 ✺
15.01.25	Andraus - Azuriz	2:0 ✺
12.01.25	Operário Ferroviario - Andraus	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
04.02.24	Coritiba - Andraus	3:1

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