Match Info

BRAZIL: Paranaense - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Germano Krüger (Ponta Grossa)

Referee: Marques R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, NSports, Sky+, Vivo Play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Operário Ferroviario		São-Joseense

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.5	7.5
	1.39	4	7
	1.51	3.85	6.8
	1.52	3.65	8.36
	1.52	3.37	7.49
	1.5	3.6	7
	1.53	3.55	7.61	Watch
	1.51	3.85	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.43)	3.67 ↓ (3.9)	7.32 ↓ (8.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Operário Ferroviario
62%

Draw
25.3%

São-Joseense
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.1%

23.8%

11.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.8%

23.2%

10.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Operário Ferroviario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

São-Joseense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São-Joseense than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Operário Ferroviario - São Joseense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Elias (G) 93. Allan Godoi 10. Boschilia 20. Fransergio 27. Gabriel Feliciano 5. Indio 55. Jacy (C) 75. Kleiton 7. Rodrigo Rodrigues 72. Thales Oleques 9. Vinicius Mingotti	1. Pereira C. F. M. P. (G) 3. Dirceu (C) 5. Felipe Vieira 2. Igor Dutra 8. Joao Maranhao 11. Marcos Calazans 9. Miguel Bianconi 4. Oswaldo Henriquez 10. Thiaguinho 7. Thomaz Carvalho 6. Vinicio
Substitutes
29. Allano 99. Alvaro 90. Cristiano 2. Diogo Mateus 77. Filipe Claudino 4. Giraldo J. 11. Jean Lucas 30. Joseph 88. Neto Paraiba 70. Pedro Lucas 12. Talles (G) 8. Zuluaga J.	12. Agenor (G) 14. Darlan Bispo 22. Eduardo Oliveira 18. Hannyel 15. Henrique Vermudt 16. Henrique Vigia 13. Junior Espeto 21. Ronald 19. Thomasel 17. Wendel Lessa 23. Yan Santos
Coaches
Bruno Pivetti	de Siqueira A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Oswaldo Henriquez 🟨,
18', Thomaz Carvalho 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 1 - 0, Gabriel Feliciano ⚽,
65', 1 - 1, Miguel Bianconi (Pen),
66', Rodrigo Rodrigues ↓, Jean Lucas ↑,
66', Fransergio ↓, Neto Paraiba ↑,
75', Vinicius Mingotti ↓, Alvaro ↑,
77', Kleiton ↓, Allano ↑,
78', Indio ↓, Zuluaga J. ↑,
86', Marcos Calazans ↓, Henrique Vermudt ↑,
86', Vinicio ↓, Junior Espeto ↑,
87', Thomaz Carvalho ↓, Wendel Lessa ↑,
90+3', Thiaguinho ↓, Thomasel ↑,
90+6', Felipe Vieira ↓, Darlan Bispo ↑,
Penalties (6 - 5)
1, Miguel Bianconi (Pen),
1, Allano (Pen),
2, Henrique Vermudt (Pen),
2, Neto Paraiba (Pen),
3, Joao Maranhao (Pen),
3, Boschilia (Pen),
4, Dirceu (Pen),
4, Jean Lucas (Pen),
5, Wendel Lessa (Pen),
5, Zuluaga J. (Pen),
6, Darlan Bispo (Pen),
6, Alvaro (Pen),

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Operário PR won 4.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Operário PR could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Operário PR is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Operário PR to win the game is with odds 1.42.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Operário PR won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:5 (average 1.6:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Operário PR won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:1 (average 2:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Operário Ferroviario
Copa do Brasil
26.02.25	Humaitá - Operário Ferroviario	0:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
22.02.25	São-Joseense - Operário Ferroviario	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	Operário Ferroviario - Maringá	2:1 ✺
11.02.25	Coritiba - Operário Ferroviario	1:1 ✺
08.02.25	Operário Ferroviario - FC Cascavel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTWTW
- Independente Futebol São-Joseense
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
22.02.25	São-Joseense - Operário Ferroviario	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	Andraus - São-Joseense	1:3 ✺
12.02.25	São-Joseense - Rio Branco PR	2:0 ✺
09.02.25	São-Joseense - Paraná Clube Curitiba	2:1 ✺
06.02.25	Athletico Paranaense - São-Joseense	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
22.02.25	São-Joseense - Operário Ferroviario	1:1
26.01.25	Operário Ferroviario - São-Joseense	3:0
08.02.24	São-Joseense - Operário Ferroviario	0:1
22.01.23	São-Joseense - Operário Ferroviario	1:2
19.03.22	Operário Ferroviario - São-Joseense	2:0
13.03.22	São-Joseense - Operário Ferroviario	2:1
10.02.22	Operário Ferroviario - São-Joseense	1:1

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