Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 38

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal Carlos Zamith (Manaus)

Referee: do Nascimento W. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Amazonas		Coritiba

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.05	2.15	Watch
	3.45	3.05	2.15
	3.95	3.2	2.06
	4.04	3.22	1.95	Watch
	3.4	3.04	2.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.65 ↑ (3.37)	3.11 ↑ (2.96)	2.11 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amazonas
25.6%

Draw
30%

Coritiba
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

31.5%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

30%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amazonas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Coritiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amazonas than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	33.3%	44.4%

Amazonas - Coritiba Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Amazonas will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Coritiba will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Coritiba: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Coritiba (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Joao Lopes (G) 20. William Barbio 14. Ivan Alvarino 3. Rafael Vitor 6. Fabiano (C) 11. Torres J. 29. Torres D. 5. Vasquez L. 10. Rafael Tavares 7. Ramirez K. 19. Henrique Almeida	1. Pedro Morisco (G) 20. Alex Silva 3. Maicon 55. Jacy 73. Zeca 70. Wallisson 11. Lucas Ronier 10. Josue 19. Gomez S. (C) 77. Iury Castilho 49. Dellatorre
Substitutes
15. Akapo C. 30. Castrillon N. 21. Dener 35. Digao 26. Gabriel Domingos 17. Guilherme Xavier 8. Kiko 27. Linares N. 9. Luan Silva 25. Pedro Caracoci (G) 55. Philippe Guimaraes	26. Bruno Melo 25. Clayson 27. de Pena C. 22. Felipe Guimaraes 8. Filipe Machado 87. Gabriel Leite (G) 5. Geovane 7. Nicolas Careca 12. Pedro Rangel (G) 4. Rodrigo Moledo 23. Tiago Coser 36. Vini Paulista
Coaches
Lana A.	Mozart

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
3', Torres D. 🟨,
7', Lucas Ronier 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Gomez S. ⚽, Lucas Ronier (A),
44', 0 - 2, Iury Castilho ⚽, Dellatorre (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rafael Tavares ↓, Gabriel Domingos ↑,
46', William Barbio ↓, Castrillon N. ↑,
46', Ramirez K. ↓, Luan Silva ↑,
50', 1 - 2, Luan Silva ⚽,
57', Iury Castilho ↓, Vini Paulista ↑,
57', Gomez S. ↓, Filipe Machado ↑,
62', Henrique Almeida 🟨,
62', Josue 🟨,
63', Fabiano 🟨,
65', Torres J. ↓, Kiko ↑,
65', Josue ↓, Geovane ↑,
66', Wallisson ↓, Felipe Guimaraes ↑,
81', Dellatorre ↓, Nicolas Careca ↑,
82', Kiko 🟨,
83', Luan Silva 🟨,
84', Torres D. ↓, Dener ↑,
85', Vasquez L. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).

Amazonas is Relegated to Serie C (First stage )

Coritiba is Qualified for Serie A Betano

Amazonas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Coritiba is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Coritiba will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Amazonas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Amazonas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Coritiba - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 40.79%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amazonas FC
Brazilian Serie B
14.11.25	Paysandu - Amazonas	2:2 ✺
10.11.25	Botafogo SP - Amazonas	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Amazonas - Cuiabá	2:0 ✺
27.10.25	Athletico Paranaense - Amazonas	2:0 ✺
17.10.25	Amazonas - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TLWLT
- Coritiba
Brazilian Serie B
15.11.25	Coritiba - Athletic Club	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Paysandu - Coritiba	1:2 ✺
31.10.25	Coritiba - CRB Maceio	0:0 ✺
25.10.25	Volta Redonda - Coritiba	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Coritiba - Athletico Paranaense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
27.07.25	Coritiba - Amazonas	1:1
13.10.24	Coritiba - Amazonas	3:1
25.06.24	Amazonas - Coritiba	1:0

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