The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cork City 33.4%
Draw 28.7%
Drogheda United 37.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.7%
27.3%
45%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27%
26.6%
46.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cork City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cork City's performance.
Drogheda United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Drogheda United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cork City than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cork City that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Drogheda United than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Drogheda United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
25%
50%
Cork City - Drogheda United Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Cork City will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Drogheda United will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Drogheda United: 21.7% โ 78.3%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Drogheda United (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.25 - Cork City (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - Cork City (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
1X2, 2nd Half - draw (2.82) (votes: 0 - 0%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Cork City (votes: 2 - 50%). Drogheda United (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Troost T. (G) 18. Mbeng M. 5. Lyons C. (C) 23. Anderson F. 19. Kiernan M. 17. Crowley D. 6. Bolger G. 16. Murray S. 14. Nelson K. 24. Maguire S. 29. Daniels D.
45. Dennison L. (G) 23. Lambe O. 4. Quinn A. 22. Keeley C. 15. Cooper G. 3. Kane C. 19. Brennan R. (C) 17. Farrell S. 21. Heeney L. 24. Davis W. 10. James-Taylor D.
Substitutes
13. Brann C. (G) 7. Dijksteel M. 20. Fitzpatrick J. 28. Healy A. 2. Nevin H. 10. Nolan A. 11. O'Sullivan C. 4. Shipston R.
16. Bawa Z. 25. Bosakani B. 27. Brady J. (G) 28. Brady S. 31. Cruise K. 5. Harper-Bailey A. 34. Kareem D. 7. Markey D. 11. Oluwa T.
Coaches
Nash G.
Doherty K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
8', Cooper G. ↓, Harper-Bailey A. ↑,
12', 0 - 1, Farrell S. ⚽,
15', Kiernan M. 🟨,
34', Heeney L. 🟨,
45+1', Maguire S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Crowley D. ↓, O'Sullivan C. ↑,
64', Murray S. ↓, Shipston R. ↑,
67', Brennan R. ↓, Markey D. ↑,
68', Kiernan M. ↓, Fitzpatrick J. ↑,
68', Bolger G. ↓, McLaughlin E. ↑,
72', Dennison L. 🟨,
78', Nelson K. ↓, Dijksteel M. ↑,
79', Davis W. ↓, Oluwa T. ↑,
90+6', 1 - 1, Daniels D. ⚽, Fitzpatrick J. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cork City won 1.
Cork City is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Drogheda United's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Drogheda United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Cork City: Bolger G.
(Yellow Cards)
Drinan C.
(Knee Injury)
Keating R.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
There will not play in Drogheda United: Ahui E.
(Inactive)
Bolger J.
(Inactive)
Doyle P.
(Injury)
Thomas J.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Cork City: Couto B.
(Ankle Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cork City won 13 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 37:18. (average 1.9:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Cork City won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:6. (average 2:0.7).