The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Waterford 55.7%
Draw 24.5%
Drogheda United 19.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
44.5%
26.2%
29.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45%
26.5%
29%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Waterford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Waterford's performance.
Drogheda United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Drogheda United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waterford than the current prediction. (-10.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Waterford that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Drogheda United than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Drogheda United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
33.3%
16.7%
Waterford - Drogheda United Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Waterford will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Drogheda United will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Drogheda United (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. McMullan S. (G) 16. Cann H. 5. Mahon J. 13. Long K. 3. Couto B. 2. Houston J. 7. Mawene N. 8. McLaughlin E. 10. Noonan C. 9. Amond P. (C) 18. Lonergan T.
44. Talley F. (G) 4. Quinn A. 22. Keeley C. (C) 5. Burney L. 2. Agbaje E. 8. O'Brien E. 10. Kavanagh B. 17. Farrell S. 3. Kane C. 24. Davis W. 11. Oluwa T.
Substitutes
32. Amedu G. 6. Ashton J. 11. Coyle T. 21. Doherty A. (G) 17. Faria J. 15. Heeney L. 12. McKenzie B. 27. McMenamy D. 50. O'Brien N. 20. Voilas J.
9. Ancelin K. 15. Bates A. 18. Bolger J. 31. Cruise K. 14. Doyle M. 6. Godden J. 36. Hennessy T. (G) 32. Mare D. 25. Markey R.
Coaches
Coughlan G.
Doherty K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Burney L. ⚽, Kane C. (A),
42', Davis W. ↓, Doyle M. ↑,
43', 1 - 1, Cann H. ⚽, Couto B. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
67', 2 - 1, Noonan C. ⚽, Lonergan T. (A),
71', O'Brien E. ↓, Bates A. ↑,
71', Farrell S. ↓, Ancelin K. ↑,
79', Burney L. ↓, Markey R. ↑,
83', 3 - 1, Amond P. ⚽, McLaughlin E. (A),
86', McLaughlin E. ↓, Heeney L. ↑,
86', Noonan C. ↓, McMenamy D. ↑,
88', Heeney L. 🟨,
90+2', Keeley C. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waterford won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Drogheda United could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Drogheda United has had a run of games away from home.
In this matchup, Waterford is considered the favorite to take the win.
Confirmed absences for Drogheda United: Lambe O.
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Waterford: McKenzie B.
(Inactive).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Waterford has recorded 7 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:33 (averaging 1.2:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Waterford against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 13:17 goals (averaging 1.4:1.9 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Waterford
35
9
13
13
51:59
-8
40
9
Drogheda
35
9
10
16
42:57
-15
37
Last Results with these Odds
Drogheda United - the odds 3.15 are the expected chance of winning is 29.32%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
International
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McMullan S. (G) 
Cann H. 
Mahon J. 
Couto B. 
Houston J. 
Burney L. 
Amedu G. 
Faria J. 
Voilas J. 
Godden J. 
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