Match Info

Premier Division - Round 20

Date: 12 June 2026, Friday

Location: Richmond Park (Dublin)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
World	LOI TV


	St Patricks Athletic		Drogheda United

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.10	8.00	Watch
	1.40	4.33	7.00
	1.37	4.50	7.50
	1.43	4.64	8.21
	1.47	3.70	8.87	Watch
	1.40	4.20	7.50
	1.41	4.35	7.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 (1.41)	4.26 ↓ (4.31)	7.83 ↑ (7.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St Patricks Athletic
66.2%

Draw
21.9%

Drogheda United
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

21.5%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.1%

20.4%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St Patricks Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Drogheda United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St Patricks Athletic than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Drogheda United than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

St Patricks Athletic - Drogheda United Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH -2 - draw (4.00) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

O/U 2.25 - over (1.60) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: St Patricks Athletic will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rogers D. (G) 23. Brown J. 4. Redmond J. (C) 2. Hoare S. 24. Turner L. 6. Lennon J. 17. Palmer R. 10. Leavy K. 9. Keena A. 7. Elbouzedi Z. 27. Edmondson R.	44. Talley F. (G) 17. Farrell S. 2. Agbaje E. 22. Keeley C. 5. Burney L. 31. Cruise K. 10. Kavanagh B. 19. Brennan R. (C) 8. O'Brien E. 6. Godden J. 14. Doyle M.
Substitutes
19. Baggley B. 3. Breslin A. 8. Forrester C. 5. Grivosti T. 18. Mata M. A. 11. McClelland J. 49. Molloy S. (G) 16. Nugent D. 35. Rooney S.	18. Bolger J. 28. Brady S. 7. Bucknor J. 1. Dennison L. (G) 3. Kane C. 15. Kareem D. 30. O'Connor C. 11. Oluwa T. 4. Quinn A.
Coaches
Kenny S.	Doherty K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Doyle M. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Leavy K. ⚽,
37', Cruise K. ↓, Kane C. ↑,
39', Hoare S. 🟨,
45+1', Palmer R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', 2 - 0, Elbouzedi Z. ⚽, Turner L. (A),
66', O'Brien E. ↓, Oluwa T. ↑,
66', Godden J. ↓, Bucknor J. ↑,
69', Elbouzedi Z. ↓, Breslin A. ↑,
79', Palmer R. ↓, Nugent D. ↑,
80', Keena A. ↓, Baggley B. ↑,
84', Lennon J. ↓, Forrester C. ↑,
84', Edmondson R. ↓, Mata M. A. ↑,
88', Doyle M. ↓, Kareem D. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St Patricks won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, St Patricks is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in St Patricks: Power S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Drogheda United: Brady S. (Inactive) Lambe O. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Drogheda United: Bolger J. (Inactive) Bosakani B. (Inactive) Davis W. (Inactive) Keeley C. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St Patricks won 12 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 32:9. (average 1.6:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, St Patricks won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:5. (average 1.7:0.5).

Outrights of Irish Premier Division for now

St. Patricks: 23.83%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	St. Patricks	32	17	8	7	52:25	27	59
9	Drogheda	32	8	10	14	38:51	-13	34

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St Patricks Athletic
Irish Premier Division
29.05.26	Shamrock Rovers - St Patricks Athletic	1:0 ✺
22.05.26	Derry City - St Patricks Athletic	0:0 ✺
15.05.26	St Patricks Athletic - Shelbourne	0:1 ✺
08.05.26	St Patricks Athletic - Waterford	4:1 ✺
04.05.26	Sligo Rovers - St Patricks Athletic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTLWT
- Drogheda United
Irish Premier Division
29.05.26	Drogheda United - Waterford	3:3 ✺
22.05.26	Drogheda United - Dundalk	1:1 ✺
18.05.26	Waterford - Drogheda United	2:1 ✺
15.05.26	Bohemians Dublin - Drogheda United	2:1 ✺
08.05.26	Drogheda United - Derry City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Irish Premier Division
17.04.26	Drogheda United - St Patricks Athletic	1:3
13.03.26	St Patricks Athletic - Drogheda United	4:1
22.08.25	Drogheda United - St Patricks Athletic	0:1
13.06.25	St Patricks Athletic - Drogheda United	0:0
21.04.25	Drogheda United - St Patricks Athletic	0:0
14.02.25	St Patricks Athletic - Drogheda United	0:0
01.09.24	St Patricks Athletic - Drogheda United	4:1

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