Match Info

FAI Cup - Semi-finals

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday

Location: Turners Cross (Cork)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ireland	LOI TV, RTE 2, RTE Player


	Cork City		St Patricks Athletic

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5	3.7	1.55
	5.35	3.6	1.55
	5.77	3.9	1.63
	2.19	3.10	3.38	Watch
	5.62	3.86	1.57	Watch
	5.4	3.8	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.89 ↑ (4.23)	3.66 ↓ (3.7)	1.87 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cork City
20.2%

Draw
27%

St Patricks Athletic
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.7%

24.8%

53.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3%

24.3%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cork City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

St Patricks Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cork City than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St Patricks Athletic than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Cork City - St Patricks Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. St Patricks will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. St Patricks (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Brann C. (G) 28. Feely R. 23. Anderson F. 5. Lyons C. 17. Crowley D. 6. Bolger G. 8. McLaughlin E. 10. Nolan A. 24. Maguire S. (C) 20. Fitzpatrick J. 14. Nelson K.	94. Anang J. (G) 22. Garrick J. 4. Redmond J. (C) 5. Grivosti T. 23. McLaughlin R. 25. Power S. 6. Lennon J. 8. Forrester C. 10. Leavy K. 11. McClelland J. 9. Melia M.
Substitutes
3. Couto B. 34. Hanover C. 31. Kamara K. 4. Kelleher F. 19. Kiernan M. 38. Lee B. 29. Lutz C. 16. Murray S. 1. Odumosu D. (G)	19. Baggley B. 15. Carty C. 31. Hayes B. 14. Kavanagh B. 30. Kazeem A. 20. Mulraney J. 45. O'Hara M. 26. Robinson D. 1. Rogers D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Maguire S. ⚽, Anderson F. (A),
42', Anderson F. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Garrick J. ↓, Mulraney J. ↑,
66', McLaughlin R. ↓, Carty C. ↑,
70', 2 - 0, McLaughlin E. ⚽, Crowley D. (A),
71', 3 - 0, McLaughlin E. ⚽,
73', McLaughlin E. ↓, Murray S. ↑,
77', Lennon J. ↓, Kazeem A. ↑,
78', McClelland J. ↓, Kavanagh B. ↑,
78', Bolger G. ↓, Kamara K. ↑,
78', Lyons C. ↓, Kelleher F. ↑,
79', Nolan A. ↓, Kiernan M. ↑,
86', Maguire S. ↓, Lee B. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cork City won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, St Patricks is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cork City won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 14:32. (average 0.7:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Cork City won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.6:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cork City
Irish Premier Division
26.09.25	Galway United - Cork City	2:1 ✺
22.09.25	St Patricks Athletic - Cork City	4:0 ✺
19.09.25	Cork City - Shamrock Rovers	1:1 ✺
Irish FAI Cup
12.09.25	Finn Harps - Cork City	0:3 ✺
Irish Premier Division
29.08.25	Cork City - Waterford	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LLTWW
- St Patricks Athletic
Irish Premier Division
27.09.25	Sligo Rovers - St Patricks Athletic	1:0 ✺
22.09.25	St Patricks Athletic - Cork City	4:0 ✺
19.09.25	St Patricks Athletic - Galway United	1:1 ✺
Irish FAI Cup
14.09.25	St Patricks Athletic - Galway United	3:1 ET ✺
Irish Premier Division
29.08.25	Derry City - St Patricks Athletic	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Irish Premier Division
22.09.25	St Patricks Athletic - Cork City	4:0
27.06.25	Cork City - St Patricks Athletic	0:0
16.05.25	St Patricks Athletic - Cork City	3:2
11.04.25	Cork City - St Patricks Athletic	0:2
Irish FAI Cup
08.10.23	Cork City - St Patricks Athletic	0:2
Irish Premier Division
29.09.23	Cork City - St Patricks Athletic	0:1
07.07.23	St Patricks Athletic - Cork City	1:1

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