Match Info

Premier Division - Round 23

Date: 3 July 2026, Friday

Location: Richmond Park (Dublin)

Referee: O'Sullivan K. (Irl)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	LOI TV


	St Patricks Athletic		Galway United

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.5	6.25	Watch
	1.41	4.50	6.50
	1.42	4.55	6.5
	1.44	4.76	7.51
	1.43	4.72	7.14	Watch
	1.4	4.65	7.35
	1.46	4.57	6.05	Watch
	1.41	4.4	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.41)	4.58 ↓ (4.93)	6.69 ↓ (6.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St Patricks Athletic
65.6%

Draw
20.4%

Galway United
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.9%

19.1%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.6%

18.1%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St Patricks Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Galway United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St Patricks Athletic than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Galway United than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

St Patricks Athletic - Galway United Predictions

Users Predictions: St Patricks Athletic will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rogers D. (G) 4. Redmond J. (C) 2. Hoare S. 24. Turner L. 23. Brown J. 6. Lennon J. 17. Palmer R. 11. McClelland J. 10. Leavy K. 9. Keena A. 27. Edmondson R.	16. Cunha H. (G) 4. Keohane J. (C) 15. Williams W. 5. Brouder K. 20. Devitt L. 12. Facchineri G. 22. McCormack C. 10. Hurley D. 8. Bolger A. 24. McCarthy E. 7. Walsh S.
Substitutes
19. Baggley B. 15. Boyce R. 3. Breslin A. 8. Forrester C. 49. Molloy S. (G) 16. Nugent D. 42. Nzingo G. 35. Rooney S. 48. Sheridan R.	21. Connolly D. 29. Fleuriau Chateau N. 32. Gleeson C. (G) 19. Kavanagh L. 30. Kazeem A. 23. Pierrot F. 6. Piesold A. 17. Thiam J. 14. Wolfe M.
Coaches
Kenny S.	Caulfield J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Edmondson R. ⚽, Turner L. (A),
17', 2 - 0, Leavy K. ⚽, Brown J. (A),
23', 3 - 0, Keena A. ⚽,
28', Brouder K. ↓, Kavanagh L. ↑,
29', McCormack C. ↓, Pierrot F. ↑,
29', Keohane J. ↓, Wolfe M. ↑,
32', Williams W. 🟨,
44', Walsh S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Williams W. ↓, Kazeem A. ↑,
68', Keena A. ↓, Baggley B. ↑,
72', Walsh S. ↓, Connolly D. ↑,
78', Edmondson R. ↓, Nugent D. ↑,
78', Leavy K. ↓, Sheridan R. ↑,
84', Palmer R. ↓, Forrester C. ↑,
84', McClelland J. ↓, Breslin A. ↑,
90', Kavanagh L. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St Patricks won 2.

St Patricks has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Galway United is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, St Patricks is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St Patricks won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:21. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, St Patricks won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.4:1).

Outrights of Irish Premier Division for now

St. Patricks: 23.83%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	St. Patricks	32	17	8	7	52:25	27	59
7	Galway	32	9	11	12	42:48	-6	38

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St Patricks Athletic
Irish Premier Division
26.06.26	Bohemians Dublin - St Patricks Athletic	2:0 ✺
19.06.26	St Patricks Athletic - Sligo Rovers	2:0 ✺
12.06.26	St Patricks Athletic - Drogheda United	2:0 ✺
29.05.26	Shamrock Rovers - St Patricks Athletic	1:0 ✺
22.05.26	Derry City - St Patricks Athletic	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWWLT
- Galway United
Irish Premier Division
26.06.26	Shamrock Rovers - Galway United	3:1 ✺
19.06.26	Galway United - Derry City	2:1 ✺
12.06.26	Galway United - Dundalk	0:1 ✺
29.05.26	Shelbourne - Galway United	1:1 ✺
22.05.26	Galway United - Bohemians Dublin	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Irish Premier Division
01.05.26	Galway United - St Patricks Athletic	2:2
02.03.26	St Patricks Athletic - Galway United	1:0
19.09.25	St Patricks Athletic - Galway United	1:1
Irish FAI Cup
14.09.25	St Patricks Athletic - Galway United	3:1 ET
Irish Premier Division
20.06.25	Galway United - St Patricks Athletic	3:1
02.05.25	St Patricks Athletic - Galway United	2:0
21.02.25	Galway United - St Patricks Athletic	2:1

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