The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cornellà 34.4%
Draw 30.9%
Manresa 34.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41%
29.5%
29.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.1%
30.3%
28.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cornellà has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cornellà's form might have worsened.
Manresa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Manresa's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cornellà than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cornellà, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manresa than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Manresa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Bande B. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', 1 - 1, Fernandez M. ⚽,
62', 2 - 1, Guzman S. ⚽,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 5 (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).
In recent matches, Cornellà has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Manresa is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Cornellà could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cornellà won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1.3:2).
Including home match between the teams, Cornellà won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.