Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Round 30

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday


	Tona		Cornellà

	1	X	2
	2.72	2.92	2.52
	2.89	2.94	2.63
	2.89	2.8	2.6
	2.75	2.75	2.6
	2.81	2.71	2.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↓ (2.9)	2.82 ↑ (2.75)	2.59 ↑ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tona
32.4%

Draw
32.3%

Cornellà
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

33.1%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

32.9%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Cornellà has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tona than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

The ML Model estimate for Cornellà aligns with the current prediction.

Tona - Cornellà Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+3', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 5 (Play Offs: )).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tona won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Cornella	4	1	3	0	6:4	2	6
17	UE Tona	5	1	0	4	4:9	-5	3

Last Results with these Odds

Cornellà - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 35.51%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UE Tona
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
04.04.26	Badalona - Tona	0:0 ✺
29.03.26	Tona - Montañesa	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Cerdanyola del Vallès - Tona	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Tona - Peralada	0:0 ✺
11.03.26	Tona - LHospitalet	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TTTTW
- UE Cornellà
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
03.04.26	Cornellà - Lleida	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	Vilanova - Cornellà	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Cornellà - LEscala	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Vilassar de Mar - Cornellà	0:0 ✺
08.03.26	Cornellà - Mollerussa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
06.12.25	Cornellà - Tona	4:1

Tona - Cornellà: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide