Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 37

Date: 18 May 2024, Saturday


	Cornellà		Leonesa

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.2	2.15
	3.2	2.95	2.1
	3.3	3.1	2.2
	3.44	3.12	2.21
	3.44	3.12	2.21
	3.34	3.04	2.21
	3.1	3.15	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↓ (3.56)	3.1 ↓ (3.32)	2.18 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cornellà
28.1%

Draw
29.7%

Leonesa
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

27.5%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7%

26.5%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cornellà has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Leonesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cornellà than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leonesa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cornellà - Leonesa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mino R. (G) 14. Kike Lopez 21. Rios E. 16. Ayala S. 20. Verges E. 11. Simon R. 6. Toni Arranz 18. Caballero A. 8. Ortiz A. 9. Sutherland T. 46. Soma P.	13. Amigo (G) 2. Garcia V. 20. Rodri Suarez (C) 15. Fornos Q. 17. Martinez A. 7. Calderon C. 14. Bicho J. 8. Barri 11. Bilbao L. 9. Guillermo 21. Rodri
Substitutes
27. Benet J. 19. Bobi A. 17. Canario 22. Gonpi A. 24. Li H. (G) 15. Mas J. 10. Mendes C. 13. Meykher Y. (G) 35. Montesinos P. 28. Tejada H. 5. Vilaplana Dachs M.	16. Berto 23. Blanco F. 4. Coch A. 5. Guitian A. 19. Hanza D. 22. Muguruza J. 3. Pol J. 6. Presa K. 10. Rey A. 25. Rodriguez D. (G) 18. Solar M. 12. Toca N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
19', 0 - 1, Rodri ⚽,
22', 0 - 2, Calderon C. ⚽,
33', 1 - 2, Ortiz A. ⚽,
44', Rodri Suarez 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Guillermo ↓, Berto ↑,
58', Fornos Q. ↓, Coch A. ↑,
60', Barri 🟨,
62', Toni Arranz ↓, Mendes C. ↑,
67', Ayala S. 🟨,
68', Bicho J. ↓, Blanco F. ↑,
68', Bilbao L. ↓, Solar M. ↑,
71', Simon R. ↓, Montesinos P. ↑,
71', Kike Lopez ↓, Mas J. ↑,
71', Calderon C. 🟨,
73', Caballero A. 🟨,
78', Caballero A. ↓, Gonpi A. ↑,
78', Sutherland T. ↓, Bobi A. ↑,
79', Rodri ↓, Presa K. ↑,
86', 🟨,
87', Verges E. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Cornellà has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Leonesa is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Leonesa will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Cornellà won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UE Cornellà
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
11.05.24	Lugo - Cornellà	3:1 ✺
05.05.24	Cornellà - Ponferradina	0:1 ✺
27.04.24	Cornellà - Sestao	1:1 ✺
20.04.24	Sabadell - Cornellà	2:1 ✺
13.04.24	Cornellà - Arenteiro	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTLL
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
12.05.24	Leonesa - Teruel	0:0 ✺
04.05.24	Real Unión de Irun - Leonesa	0:0 ✺
28.04.24	Leonesa - Gimnástic de Tarragona	3:0 ✺
20.04.24	Deportivo A Coruña - Leonesa	2:0 ✺
13.04.24	Leonesa - Real Sociedad B	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
04.11.23	Leonesa - Cornellà	1:0

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