Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 20

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Reino de León (León)

Referee: Muresan S. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter


	Leonesa		Real Sociedad B

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.5	4.75	Watch
	1.88	3.2	3.9
	1.8	3.35	4.35	Watch
	1.9	3.38	4.35	Watch
	1.75	3.4	4.33
	1.83	3.46	4.58	Watch
	1.77	3.4	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.92)	3.38 ↑ (3.26)	4.43 ↑ (3.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leonesa
51.5%

Draw
27.5%

Real Sociedad B
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

28.4%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

28.1%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Real Sociedad B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad B than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	18.2%	45.5%

Leonesa - Real Sociedad B Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Leonesa will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Real Sociedad B will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real Sociedad B: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Leonesa (votes: 2 - 50%). Real Sociedad B (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Badia E. (G) 17. Calero I. 4. Rodri Suarez (C) 36. Barzic M. 21. Hinojo R. 22. Pibe 28. Ojeda T. 14. Bicho 20. Tresaco R. 10. Chacon L. 9. Justo M.	1. Fraga A. (G) 22. Dadie Izagirre A. 5. Rodriguez P. (C) 37. Calderon I. 3. Balda J. 17. Astiazaran L. 14. Carbonell T. 8. Rodriguez M. 16. Gorosabel G. 18. Carrera G. 11. Ochieng J.
Substitutes
1. Banuz M. (G) 7. Collado D. 11. Cortes P. 23. Diallo Selu M. 5. Fornos Q. 24. Garcia V. 33. Larios J. 6. Maestre S. 2. Mboula J. 26. Rafus A. (G) 15. Ribeiro L. 16. Ribeiro T.	23. Agote U. 13. Arana E. (G) 7. Diaz D. 30. Eceizabarrena J. 29. Garro J. 33. Gorosabel J. 19. Marchal A. 10. Mariezkurrena A. 34. Oleaga J. 20. Osazuwa S. 39. Unax A.
Coaches
Ziganda C.	Ansotegi I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Carbonell T. 🟨,
19', Carrera G. 🟨,
24', Calderon I. ↓, Unax A. ↑,
27', Hinojo R. 🟨,
36', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
45+1', Barzic M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Pibe ↓, Maestre S. ↑,
46', Hinojo R. ↓, Larios J. ↑,
49', 0 - 1, Carbonell T. ⚽, Rodriguez M. (A),
62', Justo M. ↓, Mboula J. ↑,
62', Chacon L. ↓, Ribeiro L. ↑,
71', Rodriguez P. 🟨,
72', Balda J. 🟨,
75', Tresaco R. ↓, Collado D. ↑,
76', Rodriguez M. ↓, Eceizabarrena J. ↑,
76', Ochieng J. ↓, Marchal A. ↑,
79', Bicho 🟨,
87', 1 - 1, Ribeiro L. ⚽,
88', Carrera G. ↓, Diaz D. ↑,
89', Gorosabel G. ↓, Mariezkurrena A. ↑,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 and 18).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Leonesa is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Leonesa: Satrustegui E. (Knee Injury) Sobrino R. (Injury)

There will not play in Real Sociedad B: Olasagasti L. (Injury) Orobengoa E. (Knee Injury) Osazuwa S. (International duty) Ruperez I. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Leonesa: Mboula J. (Illness) Ribeiro T. (Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leonesa won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Leonesa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga2 for now

Real Sociedad B: 1.19%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Real Sociedad B	8	2	2	4	11:13	-2	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish LaLiga2
20.12.25	Las Palmas - Leonesa	4:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.12.25	Leonesa - Levante	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
12.12.25	Leonesa - Huesca	0:2 ✺
07.12.25	Eibar - Leonesa	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.25	Leonesa - FC Andorra	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 LWLWW
- Real Sociedad B
Spanish LaLiga2
21.12.25	Real Sociedad B - Ceuta	1:3 ✺
13.12.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Real Sociedad B	0:3 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
10.12.25	Brighton & Hove Albion U21 - Real Sociedad B	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
06.12.25	Real Sociedad B - Sporting de Gijón	0:1 ✺
30.11.25	Mirandés - Real Sociedad B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
15.02.25	Real Sociedad B - Leonesa	2:2
06.09.24	Leonesa - Real Sociedad B	1:1
13.04.24	Leonesa - Real Sociedad B	3:1
15.10.23	Real Sociedad B - Leonesa	0:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
03.11.19	Leonesa - Real Sociedad B	3:0

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