Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 35

Date: 5 May 2024, Sunday


	Cornellà		Ponferradina

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.7	2.7
	2.9	2.75	2.4
	2.95	2.85	2.55
	2.96	2.58	2.95
	3.07	2.85	2.49
	3	2.75	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↓ (3.48)	2.75 ↓ (2.78)	2.6 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cornellà
31.2%

Draw
33.4%

Ponferradina
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

32.9%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

31.8%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cornellà has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ponferradina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cornellà than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cornellà that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ponferradina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cornellà - Ponferradina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mino R. (G) 15. Mas J. 4. Hernandez A. 5. Vilaplana Dachs M. 20. Verges E. 11. Simon R. 7. Luisao 6. Toni Arranz 18. Caballero A. 22. Gonpi A. 9. Sutherland T.	1. Prieto A. (G) 2. Diez A. 22. Andujar D. 20. Javi Lancho 19. Lopez A. 21. Cabanzon Y. 8. Llonch P. 12. Claveria P. 14. Cerda J. 7. Gomez E. 5. Longo S.
Substitutes
16. Ayala S. 19. Bobi A. 17. Canario 14. Kike Lopez 24. Li H. (G) 10. Mendes C. 13. Meykher Y. (G) 8. Ortiz A. 21. Rios E. 46. Soma P. 28. Tejada H.	18. Abelenda B. 9. Borja V. 27. Costa A. 13. Jimenez A. (G) 3. Jimenez N. 15. Leal A. 16. Lozano M. 4. Sibille K. 23. Soto D. 10. Yuri

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Toni Arranz 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Toni Arranz ↓, Ortiz A. ↑,
46', Longo S. ↓, Yuri ↑,
54', Verges E. 🟨,
62', Gonpi A. ↓, Mendes C. ↑,
67', Cabanzon Y. ↓, Borja V. ↑,
70', Javi Lancho 🟨,
73', Simon R. ↓, Canario ↑,
73', Luisao ↓, Kike Lopez ↑,
74', Cerda J. ↓, Abelenda B. ↑,
74', Llonch P. ↓, Soto D. ↑,
83', Gomez E. ↓, Costa A. ↑,
84', Verges E. ↓, Rios E. ↑,
86', Andujar D. 🟨,
90+1', 0 - 1, Costa A. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Cornellà has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ponferradina is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ponferradina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ponferradina will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Cornellà won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Cornellà won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UE Cornellà
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
27.04.24	Cornellà - Sestao	1:1 ✺
20.04.24	Sabadell - Cornellà	2:1 ✺
13.04.24	Cornellà - Arenteiro	1:2 ✺
06.04.24	Real Unión de Irun - Cornellà	1:0 ✺
30.03.24	Cornellà - Deportivo A Coruña	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLLLL
- SD Ponferradina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
27.04.24	Ponferradina - Barcelona B	1:3 ✺
21.04.24	Arenteiro - Ponferradina	0:0 ✺
14.04.24	Ponferradina - SD Logroñés	3:0 ✺
06.04.24	Rayo Majadahonda - Ponferradina	0:1 ✺
31.03.24	Ponferradina - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
10.12.23	Ponferradina - Cornellà	1:0
Spanish Segunda Division B Losers Play Offs
02.06.19	Ponferradina - Cornellà	2:0
26.05.19	Cornellà - Ponferradina	2:1

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