Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Round 31

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Vilassar de Mar		Vilanova

	1	X	2
	3	2.82	2.32
	2.77	2.78	2.7
	3.15	2.87	2.37	Watch
	2.75	2.7	2.63
	2.97	3.21	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↓ (2.99)	2.88 ↓ (2.96)	2.48 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilassar de Mar
31.3%

Draw
31.8%

Vilanova
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

30.8%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

30.7%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilassar de Mar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Vilanova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilassar de Mar than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilanova than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Vilassar de Mar - Vilanova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Moreno J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 5 (Play Offs: )).

Recent form of Vilassar de Mar has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Vilanova has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vilassar de Mar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	CF Vilanova	4	2	2	0	7:5	2	8
18	Vilassar de Mar	5	1	0	4	3:13	-10	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UE Vilassar de Mar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
12.04.26	LEscala - Vilassar de Mar	1:1 ✺
03.04.26	Can Vidalet - Vilassar de Mar	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Vilassar de Mar - Mollerussa	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	San Cristóbal - Vilassar de Mar	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Vilassar de Mar - Cornellà	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TLLTT
- CF Vilanova
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
12.04.26	Vilanova - Mollerussa	2:2 ✺
02.04.26	San Cristóbal - Vilanova	0:0 ✺
29.03.26	Vilanova - Cornellà	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Badalona - Vilanova	3:0 ✺
15.03.26	Vilanova - Montañesa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
14.12.25	Vilanova - Vilassar de Mar	2:0

Vilassar de Mar - Vilanova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide