Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Round 8

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Correggese		Castellanzese

	1	X	2
	2.37	2.90	2.75
	2.12	3.15	3
	2.11	3.08	3.19
	2.29	3.14	2.96	Watch
	2.08	3	3.15
	2.37	3.26	2.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.52)	3.09 ↑ (2.92)	3 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Correggese
40.6%

Draw
29.2%

Castellanzese
30.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.4%

30.6%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

31.1%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Correggese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Correggese's performance.

Castellanzese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Correggese than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Correggese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellanzese than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Correggese - Castellanzese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

(0 - 2)

Preview

A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 8th and 4th in the Promotion - Serie D - Group D Playoffs).

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Castellanzese	9	6	1	2	17:6	11	19
12	Correggese	9	3	2	4	8:13	-5	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Correggese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group D
11.10.26	Pistoiese - Correggese	1:0 ✺
04.10.26	Correggese - Pavia	2:1 ✺
27.09.26	Cittadella Vis Modena - Correggese	0:1 ✺
20.09.26	Correggese - Casatese	1:3 ✺
16.09.26	Correggese - Varesina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 LWWLW
- USD Castellanzese
Italian Serie D - Group D
11.10.26	Castellanzese - Arconatese	1:0 ✺
04.10.26	SantAngelo - Castellanzese	1:2 ✺
27.09.26	Castellanzese - Crema	4:0 ✺
16.09.26	Castellanzese - Oltrepo	0:1 ✺
13.09.26	Lentigione - Castellanzese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWLL

Correggese - Castellanzese