Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP D - ROUND 20

Date: 8 January 2023, Sunday


	Correggese		Giana Erminio

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.5	1.9
	2.8	3.4	2.15
	3.47	3.7	1.83
	3.44	3.7	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↓ (3.9)	3.58 ↑ (3.29)	1.94 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Correggese
28%

Draw
25.3%

Giana Erminio
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

26.4%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3%

26.5%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Correggese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Correggese's performance.

Giana Erminio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Correggese than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Correggese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giana Erminio than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Correggese - Giana Erminio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Recent matches Correggese is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Giana Erminio in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match Giana Erminio is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Correggese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Correggese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group D
21.12.22	Pistoiese - Correggese	1:0 ✺
17.12.22	Correggese - SantAngelo	2:1 ✺
11.12.22	Bagnolese - Correggese	1:4 ✺
04.12.22	Correggese - Salsomaggiore	2:0 ✺
27.11.22	United Riccione - Correggese	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LWWWL
- AS Giana Erminio
Italian Serie D - Group D
21.12.22	Giana Erminio - Aglianese	3:2 ✺
18.12.22	Corticella - Giana Erminio	0:1 ✺
11.12.22	Giana Erminio - Real Forte Querceta	3:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
07.12.22	Arconatese - Giana Erminio	1:3 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group D
04.12.22	Cavenago Fanfulla - Giana Erminio	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
04.09.22	Giana Erminio - Correggese	4:1

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