Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP D - ROUND 19

Date: 21 December 2022, Wednesday


	Giana Erminio		Aglianese

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.6	4.6
	1.65	3.55	4.45
	1.61	3.74	4.59
	1.6	3.4	4.8
	1.58	3.84	4.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.5)	3.63 ↓ (3.82)	4.66 ↓ (5.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giana Erminio
55.9%

Draw
24.8%

Aglianese
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

23.2%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

21.6%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giana Erminio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Aglianese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giana Erminio than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Giana Erminio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aglianese than the current prediction. (-3%)

Giana Erminio - Aglianese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Giana Erminio in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Aglianese is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Giana Erminio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Giana Erminio is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Giana Erminio to win the game is with odds 1.53.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Giana Erminio
Italian Serie D - Group D
18.12.22	Corticella - Giana Erminio	0:1 ✺
11.12.22	Giana Erminio - Real Forte Querceta	3:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
07.12.22	Arconatese - Giana Erminio	1:3 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group D
04.12.22	Cavenago Fanfulla - Giana Erminio	1:4 ✺
28.11.22	Giana Erminio - Crema	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWWW
- Aglianese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group D
17.12.22	Aglianese - Prato	2:1 ✺
11.12.22	Mezzolara - Aglianese	1:1 ✺
04.12.22	Aglianese - Bagnolese	0:1 ✺
27.11.22	Forlì - Aglianese	2:0 ✺
20.11.22	Aglianese - SantAngelo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTLLT

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