Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday


	Pistoiese		Piacenza

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.3	3.55
	1.56	3.96	5.04	Watch
	1.72	3.7	4.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.72)	3.65 ↓ (3.7)	4.27 ↑ (4.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pistoiese
53.3%

Draw
25.2%

Piacenza
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

24.8%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

24.3%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pistoiese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Piacenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pistoiese than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piacenza than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Pistoiese - Piacenza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 1 - 0, Saporetti S. ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, D'Agostino S. ⚽,
45+1', Rizq K. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Extra Time (0 - 2)
95', 1 - 2, Pellegrino A. (Own goal),
107', 1 - 3, D'Agostino S. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pistoiese won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Piacenza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Pistoiese is a strong favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Pistoiese won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Pistoiese won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1.5:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Pistoiese	6	6	0	0	17:1	16	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pistoiese 1921
Italian Serie D - Group D
03.05.26	Pistoiese - Cittadella Vis Modena	5:0 ✺
26.04.26	Desenzano Calvina - Pistoiese	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Pistoiese - Tropical Coriano	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Pro Sesto - Pistoiese	0:0 ✺
03.04.26	Pistoiese - Crema	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTLTW
- Piacenza Calcio 1919
Italian Serie D - Group D
19.04.26	Piacenza - Pro Sesto	0:2 ✺
02.04.26	Piacenza - Trevigliese	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Lentigione - Piacenza	3:1 ✺
22.03.26	Piacenza - Progresso	3:0 ✺
15.03.26	Correggese - Piacenza	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
01.02.26	Pistoiese - Piacenza	1:0
28.09.25	Piacenza - Pistoiese	2:2
23.03.25	Piacenza - Pistoiese	0:1
10.11.24	Pistoiese - Piacenza	1:0
Italian Serie C Group A
14.02.21	Piacenza - Pistoiese	2:0
18.10.20	Pistoiese - Piacenza	2:1
16.03.19	Piacenza - Pistoiese	1:0

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