Match Info
Coppa Italia Serie D - FinalDate: 18 February 2026, Wednesday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Pistoiese |
|
Ancona |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.95 |
3.2 |
3.4 |
|
 |
2.02 |
2.98 |
3.6 |
|
 |
2 |
2.72 |
4.15 |
|
 |
2.12 |
3.18 |
3.32 |
 Watch |
 |
2 |
2.9 |
3.5 |
|
 |
2.02 |
2.73 |
4.16 |
|
 |
2.05 |
2.66 |
4 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.02 ↓
(2.32) |
2.91 ↓
(3.01) |
3.73 ↑
(2.89) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Pistoiese
44.7% | Draw
31.1% | Ancona
24.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pistoiese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pistoiese's performance.Ancona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ancona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pistoiese than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pistoiese that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ancona than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ancona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Pistoiese - Ancona Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 33', 1 - 0, Rizq K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 67', 2 - 0, Russo F. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+3', Kouko D. 🟥,
Preview
First leg.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pistoiese won 1.Both teams have recently enjoyed a winning streak.Pistoiese may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Pistoiese has had a series of home games. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Pistoiese won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.8:1.3).Including home matches between the teams, Pistoiese won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:2).
Last Results with these Odds
Ancona - the odds 2.89 are the expected chance of winning is 31.17%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Italian Serie C Group B | | | 06.02.22 | Ancona - Pistoiese | 0:3 | | 28.09.21 | Pistoiese - Ancona | 0:4 | | 03.04.16 | Ancona - Pistoiese | 2:1 | | 22.11.15 | Pistoiese - Ancona | 0:1 | | 08.04.15 | Pistoiese - Ancona | 1:1 | | 19.10.14 | Ancona - Pistoiese | 0:0 |
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