Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 23

Date: 19 March 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Coruchense		Sertanense

	1	X	2
	2.85	2.9	2.3
	2.7	2.95	2.4
	3.3	2.72	2.33
	3.18	3.04	2.26
	2.9	2.95	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.58)	2.91 ↑ (2.86)	2.34 ↓ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coruchense
30.3%

Draw
31%

Sertanense
38.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.3%

31.8%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

32%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coruchense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Sertanense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sertanense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coruchense than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Coruchense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sertanense than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sertanense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 7).

Two teams are playing changeable.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Coruchense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GD Coruchense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
12.03.23	Alcains - Coruchense	0:3 ✺
05.03.23	Coruchense - Loures	1:1 ✺
26.02.23	Pero Pinheiro - Coruchense	2:1 ✺
19.02.23	Arronches Benfica - Coruchense	0:0 ✺
12.02.23	Coruchense - Sintrense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 WTLTL
- Sertanense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
12.03.23	Sertanense - Sintrense	1:0 ✺
05.03.23	União de Santarém - Sertanense	2:0 ✺
26.02.23	Sertanense - SB Castelo Branco	1:1 ✺
19.02.23	Rio Maior - Sertanense	Canceled ✺
12.02.23	Sertanense - Marinhense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLT?L

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
04.12.22	Sertanense - Coruchense	1:1

Coruchense - Sertanense

Match Info

Current Win Probability

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Form

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