Match Info

Alagoano - Round 5

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Gerson Amaral (Coruripe)


	Coruripe		Penedense

	1	X	2
	2.82	2.68	2.62
	2.71	2.85	2.73
	2.71	2.82	2.71	Watch
	2.75	2.63	2.7
	2.68	2.73	2.68
	2.66	2.8	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↓ (2.94)	2.75 ↓ (2.9)	2.68 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coruripe
33.3%

Draw
32.9%

Penedense
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

31.2%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

30.1%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coruripe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Penedense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coruripe than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penedense than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Coruripe - Penedense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mateus (G) 7. Acaua 11. Afonso 10. Aurelio 2. Chiquinho Alagoano (C) 8. Gaspar 6. Helio Junior 5. Hudson 3. Joao Vitor 9. Kassio 13. Rhamon Mexicano	1. Marcelo Ribeiro (G) 11. Davisson 10. Edinho Correa 2. Edy 5. Felipe A. (C) 8. Guilherme Ivo 9. Igor Badio 4. Marcelo Amaral 3. Tiago Mumu 7. Victor Hugo 6. Victor Rosa
Substitutes
12. Allan Roden (G) 30. Canuto H. (G) 15. Cleyton 18. Daniel Alagoano 21. Davi Carneiro 19. Dry 4. Dudu 16. Erik 22. Gabriel Guimaraes 17. Hiwis 14. Jair 20. Mathaus Paraiba	12. Alexandre Silva (G) 15. Baranhas 20. Ciel 22. Cleiton 13. Cristian 14. Darvison 18. Elly 19. Everson 16. Kevinho 17. Kiko 33. Marcos (G) 21. Riquelme

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 🟨,
29', 🟨,
42', 0 - 1, Negueba V. ⚽,
45+3', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
81', 1 - 1, Gabriel Guimaraes (Penalty Awarded),
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 in the zone Relegation and 6)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coruripe won 0.

Recent form of Coruripe has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Penedense has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Coruripe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Coruripe has had a series of away games.

Recently, Penedense has had a series of home games.

Penedense is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Coruripe won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Coruripe won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Coruripe
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
21.01.26	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Coruripe	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Murici - Coruripe	1:0 ✺
14.01.26	Coruripe - Clube Sociedade Esportiva	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	CS Alagoano - Coruripe	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
30.12.25	Sergipe - Coruripe	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLTLW
- SC Penedense
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
21.01.26	Penedense - Clube Sociedade Esportiva	0:2 ✺
18.01.26	Penedense - CRB Maceio	0:1 ✺
14.01.26	CS Alagoano - Penedense	2:0 ✺
10.01.26	Penedense - Cruzeiro Arapiraca	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
30.12.25	Penedense - Itabaiana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Alagoas
23.03.25	Penedense - Coruripe	3:0
16.03.25	Coruripe - Penedense	1:1
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
26.01.25	Penedense - Coruripe	0:0
Brazilian Copa Alagoas
24.03.24	Penedense - Coruripe	1:0
21.03.24	Coruripe - Penedense	0:0
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
25.01.24	Coruripe - Penedense	0:0

Coruripe - Penedense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide