Match Info

Alagoano - Round 4

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estádio Alfredo Leahy (Penedo) 🌤️ ...


	Penedense		Clube Sociedade Esportiva

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.85	3.1
	2.22	2.92	3.15
	2.23	3	3.21	Watch
	2.25	2.75	3.2
	2.21	2.94	3.24
	2.2	2.9	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (1.92)	2.89 ↓ (3.31)	3.18 ↓ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Penedense
40.5%

Draw
31.2%

Clube Sociedade Esportiva
28.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.6%

27.6%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Penedense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Penedense's form might have worsened.

Clube Sociedade Esportiva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Penedense - Clube Sociedade Esportiva Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marcelo Ribeiro (G) 13. Antunes G. 19. Didira 23. Dinda 10. Edinho Correa 2. Edy 21. Everson 3. Henrique Capela 17. Victor Hugo 6. Victor Rosa 8. Wanderson	1. Jeferson (G) 7. Bustamante H. 6. Carlos Henrique 5. Claudevan 3. Eduardo Leite 8. Jean Cleber 2. John Lennon 9. Michel Douglas 10. Pedro Junior 4. Rafael Vaz 11. Tarcisio
Substitutes
12. Alexandre Silva (G) 7. Ciel 18. Cristian 22. Darli 16. Davisson 15. Dudu 5. Elly 20. Guilherme Ivo 9. Igor Badio 14. Kevinho 33. Marcos (G) 4. Tiago Mumu	15. Alexandre da Silva J. 12. Bruno Pereira (G) 13. Ed 17. Erick Pitbull 18. Fabio Matos 20. Gregory 14. Joao Rocha 16. Kara E. 28. Luan Silva 19. Pedrinho 22. Rai 21. Thiago Magno

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Didira ↓, Darli ↑,
22', Carlos Henrique 🟨,
23', Victor Hugo 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Pedro Junior ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Dinda ↓, Ciel ↑,
64', 🟨,
65', Victor Rosa ↓, Cristian ↑,
65', Edinho Correa ↓, Igor Badio ↑,
65', Edy ↓, Davisson ↑,
66', 0 - 2, Rafael Vaz ⚽,
71', 🟨,
71', John Lennon ↓, Ed ↑,
74', 🟨,
74', Bustamante H. ↓, Fabio Matos ↑,
75', Pedro Junior ↓, Thiago Magno ↑,
80', Tarcisio ↓, Erick Pitbull ↑,
89', 🟨,
90+1', 🟥,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 and 7)

Penedense could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Penedense won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Penedense won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Penedense
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
18.01.26	Penedense - CRB Maceio	0:1 ✺
14.01.26	CS Alagoano - Penedense	2:0 ✺
10.01.26	Penedense - Cruzeiro Arapiraca	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
30.12.25	Penedense - Itabaiana	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
27.07.25	Barcelona de Ilhéus - Penedense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LLWWW
- Clube Sociedade Esportiva
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
18.01.26	Clube Sociedade Esportiva - Cruzeiro Arapiraca	1:2 ✺
14.01.26	Coruripe - Clube Sociedade Esportiva	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	CRB Maceio - Clube Sociedade Esportiva	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Clube Sociedade Esportiva - CS Alagoano	0:1 ✺
02.04.25	CS Alagoano - Clube Sociedade Esportiva	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Alagoas
30.03.25	Clube Sociedade Esportiva - Penedense	1:0 penalties
26.03.25	Penedense - Clube Sociedade Esportiva	1:1
05.02.25	Clube Sociedade Esportiva - Penedense	1:0
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
16.01.25	Clube Sociedade Esportiva - Penedense	1:2
28.01.24	Penedense - Clube Sociedade Esportiva	1:1

Penedense - Clube Sociedade Esportiva