Match Info

Alagoano - Round 3

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Alfredo Leahy (Penedo)


	Penedense		CRB Maceio

	1	X	2
	5.35	3.2	1.62
	5.8	3.41	1.6	Watch
	5.5	3.1	1.65
	5.91	3.3	1.59
	5.75	3.33	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.66 ↑ (3.49)	3.27 ↑ (3.26)	1.61 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Penedense
16%

Draw
27.7%

CRB Maceio
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

28.1%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Penedense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Penedense's form might have worsened.

CRB Maceio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting CRB Maceio's recent form is better than expected.

Penedense - CRB Maceio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Alexandre Silva (G) 19. Didira 10. Edinho Correa 2. Edy 21. Everson 3. Henrique Capela 9. Igor Badio 14. Marcelo Amaral 17. Victor Hugo 6. Victor Rosa 8. Wanderson	12. Matheus Albino (G) 8. Crystopher Ribeiro 97. Dada Belmonte 10. Danielzinho 27. Fabio Alemao 44. Henri 77. Leo Campos 28. Mikael 21. Pedro Castro 17. Thiaguinho 82. Wallace
Substitutes
13. Antunes G. 7. Ciel 18. Cristian 22. Darli 16. Davisson 15. Dudu 5. Elly 20. Guilherme Ivo 23. Kevinho 1. Marcelo Ribeiro (G) 33. Marcos (G) 4. Tiago Mumu	34. Darlisson 16. David Braw 7. Douglas Baggio 11. Guilherme Pato 32. Hereda 9. Joao Neto 5. Lucas Kallyel 50. Luizao 60. Maycon 33. Rodriguinho 1. Vitor Caetano (G) 93. Willian Pottker

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Marcelo Amaral ↓, Antunes G. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Igor Badio ↓, Davisson ↑,
54', Mikael ↓, Willian Pottker ↑,
54', Dada Belmonte ↓, Guilherme Pato ↑,
59', Henrique Capela 🟨,
64', Victor Hugo ↓, Darli ↑,
64', Victor Rosa ↓, Cristian ↑,
65', Danielzinho ↓, Douglas Baggio ↑,
65', Weverton ↓, Hereda ↑,
80', 0 - 1, Douglas Baggio ⚽,
80', Edinho Correa 🟨,
82', 🟨,
82', Thiaguinho ↓, Luizao ↑,
83', Edinho Correa ↓, Ciel ↑,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Alagoano (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Alagoano (Play Offs: Semi~finals))

Penedense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, CRB is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Penedense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Penedense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Penedense
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
14.01.26	CS Alagoano - Penedense	2:0 ✺
10.01.26	Penedense - Cruzeiro Arapiraca	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
30.12.25	Penedense - Itabaiana	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
27.07.25	Barcelona de Ilhéus - Penedense	0:1 ✺
20.07.25	Penedense - União Carmolandense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 LWWWT
- CRB Maceio
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
15.01.26	CRB Maceio - Murici	3:2 ✺
10.01.26	CRB Maceio - Clube Sociedade Esportiva	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
22.11.25	Grêmio Novorizontino - CRB Maceio	3:0 ✺
15.11.25	CRB Maceio - Vila Nova	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	CRB Maceio - Operário Ferroviario	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
23.02.25	Penedense - CRB Maceio	1:3
15.02.25	CRB Maceio - Penedense	2:0
29.01.25	CRB Maceio - Penedense	2:2
20.01.24	Penedense - CRB Maceio	0:1

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