Match Info

Alagoano - Round 1

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Alfredo Leahy (Penedo)


	Penedense		Cruzeiro Arapiraca

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.92	3.4
	2.12	2.89	3.64	Watch
	2.1	2.8	3.6
	2.21	3.05	3.47
	2.14	2.8	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.89)	2.89 ↓ (3.25)	3.52 ↓ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Penedense
42.7%

Draw
31.5%

Cruzeiro Arapiraca
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

28.1%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Penedense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Penedense's form might have worsened.

Cruzeiro Arapiraca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Penedense - Cruzeiro Arapiraca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Alexandre Silva (G) 19. Didira 23. Dinda 10. Edinho Correa 2. Edy 8. Felipe Artur 3. Henrique Capela 9. Igor Badio 14. Marcelo Amaral 11. Riquelme 6. Victor	1. Diogo (G) 10. Cristiano 11. Estevan 3. Isaac 9. Lucao 8. Mel 2. Mendes J. 5. Pedro Lucas 6. Souzinha 7. Wanderson 4. Wesley Pereira

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', 🟨,
19', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Riquelme ↓, Ciel ↑,
51', 🟨,
73', 🟨,
80', 🟨,
85', 1 - 0, Darli ⚽,

Preview

Cruzeiro Arapiraca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Penedense is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Penedense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Penedense
Club Friendly
30.12.25	Penedense - Itabaiana	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
27.07.25	Barcelona de Ilhéus - Penedense	0:1 ✺
20.07.25	Penedense - União Carmolandense	1:1 ✺
13.07.25	Penedense - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	0:1 ✺
06.07.25	Lagarto - Penedense	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWTLL
- Cruzeiro Arapiraca
Brazilian Alagoano 2
18.10.25	Guarany Alagoano - Cruzeiro Arapiraca	2:2 ✺
12.10.25	Cruzeiro Arapiraca - Guarany Alagoano	2:1 ✺
06.10.25	Cruzeiro Arapiraca - Dimensão Capela	3:1 ✺
21.09.25	Cruzeiro Arapiraca - Agrimaq Pilarense	2:1 ✺
17.09.25	Guarany Alagoano - Cruzeiro Arapiraca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
11.02.24	Cruzeiro Arapiraca - Penedense	0:1

Penedense - Cruzeiro Arapiraca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide