Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 8 August 2024, Thursday

Location: Stadionul Municipal (Sibiu)

Referee: Barbara I. (Mlt)

Where to Watch on TV:


Romania	Digi Sport 1, Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2


	Corvinul Hunedoara		Astana

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	2.9	Watch
	2.25	3.1	3
	2.3	3.3	3
	2.31	3.25	3.22
	2.32	3.14	3.16	Watch
	2.29	3.24	3.13
	2.3	3.3	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.35)	3.23 ↓ (3.4)	3.06 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corvinul Hunedoara
40.8%

Draw
28.8%

Astana
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

26.7%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

26.8%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corvinul Hunedoara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Astana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corvinul Hunedoara than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Astana than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
34.5%	41.4%	24.1%

Corvinul Hunedoara - Astana Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Corvinul will win (votes: 9 - 37.5%). Astana will win (votes: 5 - 20.8%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 22% – 61.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Lefter S. (G) 8. Bradu A. 6. Lica V. 30. Manolache A. 11. Roger 3. Pop I. 97. Hrezdac D. 10. Neacsa A. (C) 31. Ubbink D. 19. Pirvulescu D. N. 7. Lupu M.	93. Condric J. (G) 5. Kazukolovas K. 22. Marochkin A. 45. Amanovic A. 2. Bartolec K. 7. Ebong M. 77. Gripshi N. 6. Vorogovskiy Y. 10. Tomasov M. (C) 9. Geoffrey C. 28. Camara O.
Substitutes
1. Blaga C. (G) 27. Campan L. 23. Cararus I. 26. Chukwu I. 20. Girbita A. 17. Grigore D. 14. Hergheligiu A. 13. Iacob F. 18. Mitran T. 15. Predica A. 98. Velisar M.	11. Ahanonu N. F. 21. Astanov E. 72. Basmanov S. 15. Beysebekov A. 4. Bystrov M. 27. Dosmagambetov T. 3. Kalaica B. 81. Karimov R. 8. Kuat I. 19. Osei B. 74. Seisen M. 55. Zarutskiy A. (G)
Coaches
Maxim F.	Babayan G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Manolache A. ⚽, Pirvulescu D. N. (A),
38', Manolache A. 🟨,
44', Marochkin A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
62', 1 - 1, Camara O. ⚽,
68', Pop I. ↓, Velisar M. ↑,
68', Ubbink D. ↓, Girbita A. ↑,
78', Ebong M. 🟨,
79', Lupu M. ↓, Campan L. ↑,
80', 1 - 2, Geoffrey C. ⚽,
84', Geoffrey C. ↓, Karimov R. ↑,
85', Roger ↓, Cararus I. ↑,
85', Hrezdac D. ↓, Chukwu I. ↑,
86', Camara O. ↓, Ahanonu N. F. ↑,
89', Gripshi N. ↓, Kalaica B. ↑,

Preview

1st leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Stadionul Municipal.

Corvinul is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Astana is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Corvinul could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corvinul Hunedoara
UEFA Europa League
01.08.24	Rijeka - Corvinul Hunedoara	1:0 ✺
25.07.24	Corvinul Hunedoara - Rijeka	0:0 ✺
18.07.24	Corvinul Hunedoara - Paksi SE	0:2 ✺
11.07.24	Paksi SE - Corvinul Hunedoara	0:4 ✺
Romanian Super Cup
04.07.24	FCSB - Corvinul Hunedoara	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 LTLWL
- FC Astana
Kazakh Premier League
04.08.24	Astana - Turan Turkistan	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
01.08.24	Astana - Milsami Orhei	1:0 ✺
25.07.24	Milsami Orhei - Astana	1:1 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
29.06.24	Astana - Kairat	1:3 ✺
22.06.24	Kyzylzhar - Astana	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWTLW

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