Match Info

Premier League - Round 22

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Karasai Stadium (Petropavl)

Referee: Tevyashov D. (Kaz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Kyzylzhar		Astana

	1	X	2
	4.10	3.40	1.73
	4.3	3.4	1.72	Watch
	4.68	3.59	1.78
	3.8	3.47	1.87	Watch
	4.6	3.55	1.65
	4.15	3.83	1.76	Watch
	4.2	3.4	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.26 ↑ (3.69)	3.52 ↑ (3.46)	1.75 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kyzylzhar
21.5%

Draw
26%

Astana
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

26.8%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

26.5%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kyzylzhar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Astana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyzylzhar than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astana than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Kyzylzhar - Astana Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Astana will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Celeadnic D. (G) 71. Sokolenko A. 23. Piscevic N. 28. Urosevic S. 27. Gubarev N. 8. Makarenko E. 55. Noyok O. 13. Bahoken S. 10. Bjartalid J. 77. Latifi L. 99. Beugre E.	74. Seysen M. (G) 2. Bartolec K. 3. Kalaica B. 5. Kazukolovas K. 11. Vorogovskiy Y. 9. Islamkhan B. 7. Karaman D. 8. Basic I. 10. Tomasov M. 81. Karimov R. 72. Basmanov S.
Substitutes
11. Cheredinov A. 17. Eleukin M. 90. Kenzhadoev A. 22. Kozlenko A. 29. Loginovsky G. 7. Muldinov T. 88. Pertsukh Y. 32. Petrov V. (G) 19. Serikuly D. 53. Talyspayev D. (G) 79. Valgushev G. 78. Zhetpisbay S.	47. Abrayev M. 20. Ahanonu N. 90. Amangeldy M. (G) 4. Anuarov S. 15. Beysebekov A. 29. Buric N. 93. Condric J. (G) 6. Kasym A. 17. Marat D. 21. Merkel A. 45. Miladinovic I. 77. Shomko D.
Coaches
Zhukovskiy V.	Babayan G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Kalaica B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', 0 - 1, Basmanov S. ⚽,
63', Bartolec K. 🟨,
64', Sokolenko A. ↓, Cheredinov A. ↑,
64', Makarenko E. ↓, Muldinov T. ↑,
73', Seysen M. 🟨,
82', Islamkhan B. ↓, Beysebekov A. ↑,
82', Tomasov M. ↓, Abrayev M. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 1, Piscevic N. ⚽, Bjartalid J. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kyzylzhar won 0.

Recent performances by Kyzylzhar have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Astana is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Astana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Astana has had a series of home games.

In this match, Astana is a strong favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Kyzylzhar won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 14 matches, and goals 14:36. (average 0.8:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Kyzylzhar won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.8:1.6).

Outrights of Kazakh Premier League for now

FC Astana: 0.92%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	FC Astana	25	14	6	5	42:25	17	48
14	Kyzylzhar	26	6	6	14	26:40	-14	24

Last Results with these Odds

Kyzylzhar - the odds 3.69 are the expected chance of winning is 25.12%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kyzylzhar
Kazakh Premier League
08.08.26	Altai Semey - Kyzylzhar	2:2 ✺
01.08.26	Kyzylzhar - Aktobe	3:1 ✺
25.07.26	Zhetysu - Kyzylzhar	1:2 ✺
18.07.26	Kyzylzhar - Tobol Kostanay	1:1 ✺
04.07.26	Kyzylzhar - Yelimay Semey	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 TWWTL
- FC Astana
Kazakh Premier League
09.08.26	Astana - Okzhetpes	2:1 ✺
02.08.26	Ulytau - Astana	0:2 ✺
26.07.26	Astana - Altai Semey	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
16.07.26	Astana - Dinamo City	1:4 AET ✺
Kazakh Premier League
12.07.26	Astana - Aktobe	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
09.05.26	Astana - Kyzylzhar	2:1
29.06.25	Astana - Kyzylzhar	3:3
09.03.25	Kyzylzhar - Astana	0:2
14.09.24	Astana - Kyzylzhar	2:1
22.06.24	Kyzylzhar - Astana	0:1
29.07.23	Kyzylzhar - Astana	1:0
20.05.23	Astana - Kyzylzhar	3:2

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